Analysis
France in Crisis: Anger and Unrest Shake the Nation
France in Crisis: Anger and Unrest Shake the Nation
By Boniface Ihiasota, Washington DC and Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman, Nigeria
France is confronting a deepening crisis of public confidence after nationwide demonstrations against rising living costs, deteriorating public services and proposed government spending reductions descended into violent confrontations, leaving one demonstrator dead, hundreds of security personnel injured and thousands of people arrested.
The unrest, which intensified on Saturday, October 17, 2026, has exposed underlying tensions over economic inequality, the future of public education, the government’s fiscal policies and the relationship between political leaders and ordinary citizens.
According to reports, France’s Interior Ministry reported approximately 1,800 arrests nationwide and more than 500 injured police officers, gendarmes and firefighters in an early Sunday update.
The figures reflected a rapidly evolving situation, with later reports indicating that the number of injured officers had risen further. In Paris, police recorded 855 arrests during the demonstrations.
The ministry estimated that approximately 550,000 people participated in demonstrations across the country, while the General Confederation of Labour (CGT), one of France’s largest trade union organisations, put the turnout at 800,000.
Although hundreds of thousands participated in demonstrations that were largely peaceful, violent groups attacked businesses, damaged public infrastructure and clashed with security personnel in several cities.
In Limoges, fire severely damaged the historic town hall, while other public buildings and commercial premises were attacked in Marseille, Lyon, Bordeaux and Paris.
One demonstrator died after suffering a cardiac arrest during the protests in Paris, according to Reuters.
The reported circumstances do not establish that the death resulted directly from police action or violence.
The immediate destruction has placed public order at the centre of the national debate.
However, the circumstances that brought such a large number of people into the streets suggest a crisis extending beyond policing.
At its core, France is confronting difficult questions about the affordability of living, the quality of public services, the distribution of economic sacrifices and the ability of democratic institutions to respond to popular discontent.
FROM STUDENT PROTESTS TO A NATIONAL CONFRONTATION
The latest demonstrations emerged from a student-led movement that began in late September, when secondary school pupils started boycotting classes and blocking school entrances in economically disadvantaged communities around Paris.
The students complained about teacher shortages, deteriorating classroom facilities, inadequate learning materials and prolonged periods without instruction when absent teachers were not replaced.
Their concerns subsequently spread to other cities, including Strasbourg, Bordeaux, Nantes, Marseille and Lyon.
For many of the young demonstrators, the dispute concerns more than the immediate inconvenience of disrupted lessons. It reflects anxiety about educational opportunity, social mobility and whether public institutions can provide the foundation for a secure future.
A student quoted by Reuters during an earlier demonstration in the Paris suburb of Pantin described classrooms accommodating 35 pupils, insufficient chairs and an inadequate lunch break for students trying to obtain food.
Such complaints illustrate how apparently administrative problems can acquire broader political significance when they affect thousands of families.
The government has responded with plans to deploy 3,000 additional substitute teachers to address staffing shortages. It has also announced measures intended to involve students more directly in school decision-making.
However, the demonstrations have expanded beyond education.
Workers, trade unions and other groups have joined the protests, linking concerns about schools to rising fuel prices, household expenses, wages, pensions and proposed reductions in public expenditure.
The convergence of these grievances has transformed the movement into a broader expression of dissatisfaction with the government’s economic direction.
Reporting by Reuters and Al Jazeera shows how the original education dispute has intersected with France’s wider economic and political tensions.
This development is significant because it brings together groups whose immediate demands are not identical but whose frustrations increasingly overlap.
THE €54BN QUESTION: FISCAL DISCIPLINE VERSUS SOCIAL PROTECTION
France’s economic difficulties provide essential context for understanding the unrest.
The government is attempting to contain public borrowing while maintaining a social protection system that supports healthcare, education, pensions and other public services.
Its proposed 2027 budget has become a major source of controversy because it seeks approximately €54bn in savings through spending reductions and other fiscal measures.
The administration argues that controlling expenditure is necessary to restore the country’s public finances and prevent rising debt-servicing costs from placing additional pressure on future budgets.
Critics, including trade unions and sections of the political opposition, contend that the proposed measures risk weakening public services and placing a disproportionate burden on workers and households already experiencing financial pressure.
The scale of the competing demands is apparent in the government’s own education spending projections.
According to Reuters reporting published on October 2, the proposed education budget for 2027 was set to increase by 1.7 per cent to €65.53bn, excluding teacher pensions. Over the same period, debt-servicing costs were projected to reach €74.5bn.
These figures expose a difficult fiscal reality: the cost of servicing government debt is expected to exceed the education budget.
They do not, by themselves, establish that education is being deliberately sacrificed or that the government’s savings programme is economically unjustified. They do, however, demonstrate the scale of the competing claims on public resources.
THE YELLOW VEST LEGACY RETURNS
France’s current unrest recalls the Yellow Vest movement, or Gilets jaunes, which emerged in 2018 following opposition to planned fuel-tax increases.
Initially driven by concerns about fuel costs and the financial pressure on motorists, the movement developed into a wider protest against inequality, the cost of living and perceptions that political leaders were disconnected from ordinary citizens.
Its supporters included workers and residents of areas where daily life depends heavily on private transport, making increases in fuel costs particularly difficult to absorb.
The movement eventually forced the government to reconsider elements of its approach and announce financial concessions.
The comparison with the present unrest is instructive, although the two movements are not identical.
The latest demonstrations began with concerns about education before incorporating broader economic grievances. Their participants include students, trade unionists and other groups whose objectives may differ considerably.
Nevertheless, both episodes reveal the political risks associated with reforms that citizens perceive as unfairly distributed.
The Yellow Vest protests demonstrated that economic dissatisfaction could become a national political confrontation when people believed established institutions were not adequately responding to their concerns.
The latest unrest suggests that questions about affordability, public services and political representation remain unresolved for some sections of French society.
It would be premature to conclude that France is experiencing a complete breakdown of its social model. The country retains functioning institutions and considerable economic resources.
MACRON’S GOVERNMENT UNDER PRESSURE
President Emmanuel Macron’s administration now faces an immediate security challenge and a wider political test as France approaches the 2027 presidential election.
Macron has pursued economic reforms intended to improve competitiveness, attract investment and strengthen France’s position within Europe.
His supporters argue that modernisation and fiscal discipline are necessary to address longstanding economic weaknesses.
Critics, however, have repeatedly questioned the distributional effects of his policies and the degree to which his governing approach accommodates public opposition.
The Yellow Vest movement, the controversy surrounding pension reform and the country’s increasingly fragmented parliamentary politics have all contributed to a difficult political environment.
The latest unrest adds another complication.
French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has rejected the suggestion that violence should dictate government policy. Reuters reported him as saying the government would not be “intimidated” by violence, while attributing the disorder to ultra-left groups and criminal elements.
That is the government’s stated assessment of the violence. It should not be confused with proof that all demonstrators, or the movement as a whole, were responsible for the attacks.
President Macron also condemned the destruction in a statement posted on X.
“There is no room for violence in our Republic,” he said, according to Reuters.
Macron added that those who attacked public buildings and businesses would be prosecuted and punished.
The statement establishes the government’s immediate position: public grievances do not justify violence, and those responsible for criminal acts should face legal consequences.
The government must nevertheless address the substantive issues behind the protests if it hopes to restore confidence beyond the immediate security operation.
A response focused exclusively on arrests and policing would leave unanswered the questions about education, household finances and public expenditure that helped mobilise the demonstrations.
Conversely, concessions made without a credible fiscal framework could deepen the financial problems that the government says it is attempting to resolve.
The administration therefore faces a difficult balancing act involving public order, economic credibility and political legitimacy.
With the presidential election approaching, competing political parties are likely to use the crisis to advance their interpretations of France’s problems.
The government will emphasise public safety and fiscal responsibility, while opposition parties will challenge its record on public services, living standards and governance.
The electoral consequences will depend on how events develop and how voters assess the competing policy proposals. The scale of the protests alone does not establish which political position will benefit.
VIOLENCE, POLICING AND THE RULE OF LAW
The violence has also renewed scrutiny of the methods used by French security forces to control demonstrations.
Police have faced attacks from violent groups, while officers have deployed crowd-control measures including tear gas and other equipment during confrontations.
At the same time, students and rights advocates have raised concerns about the use of force against young demonstrators, including reports of serious injuries associated with riot-control weapons.
Reuters reported on October 2 that France’s Interior Ministry had opened three investigations into alleged police violence during the protests.
Those investigations are important because the legitimacy of public-order operations depends not only on the state’s ability to prevent violence but also on whether its methods comply with the law.
Police officers must be able to protect the public, arrest suspects and prevent attacks on property. They should not be expected to stand aside while demonstrators assault them or destroy public infrastructure.
But security responsibilities do not remove the obligation to use force lawfully and proportionately.
Serious allegations of misconduct should be investigated independently, with findings made public where legally appropriate. Officers found to have committed unlawful acts should face appropriate consequences.
The same legal principles must apply to demonstrators who attack police officers, loot businesses or set public buildings on fire.
A democratic society cannot defend civil liberties by excusing violence, nor can it protect public order by treating peaceful protest as criminal conduct.
LIMOGES AND THE HUMAN COST OF THE DISORDER
The destruction of the historic town hall in Limoges provides one of the clearest illustrations of the damage caused by the unrest.
The 19th-century building, a landmark of the city, was severely damaged by fire during the violence on October 17. Reuters reported that the roof collapsed and the building’s distinctive 43-metre clock tower was destroyed.
The incident has raised questions about the protection of public infrastructure during major demonstrations.
Limoges Mayor Guillaume Guérin criticised the security arrangements, telling BFM TV that he had gone for an hour without a national police officer being available to protect the town hall.
His complaint raises an operational question about whether security resources were adequately distributed among the cities experiencing unrest.
It does not, by itself, establish the full circumstances surrounding the police deployment or prove that the destruction could certainly have been prevented.
Those questions require a thorough review of the security operation.
Nevertheless, the consequences are clear. The damage threatens an important part of the city’s historical heritage and creates additional costs for public authorities and taxpayers.
The attacks on commercial premises have also placed businesses under pressure.
Economy Minister Roland Lescure pledged that perpetrators would be held accountable, according to Reuters.
“Those who break things will pay, repair the damage and be held accountable for their intention to sow chaos,” he said.
The government has also faced pressure to support business owners whose premises were damaged or looted.
THE WAY FORWARD
France’s immediate priority must be to prevent further violence, protect lives and restore the functioning of public services.
Authorities must investigate attacks on businesses and public buildings, prosecute those responsible where the evidence supports criminal charges, and provide assistance to affected communities.
At the same time, the government should pursue meaningful engagement with students, teachers, parents, trade unions and local authorities.
In education, that means addressing teacher shortages, examining the condition of school facilities and ensuring that staffing problems do not repeatedly deprive pupils of instruction.
On the economic front, policymakers should explain the proposed €54bn savings programme in sufficient detail for the public to understand its likely effects on household finances, public services and economic growth.
The government should also clarify which essential services it intends to protect and how it will assess whether its measures are achieving their stated objectives.
Independent scrutiny of alleged police misconduct must remain part of the response. Accountability can help establish whether security operations complied with legal standards and prevent individual incidents from undermining confidence in the wider justice system.
Political leaders, meanwhile, must avoid treating the crisis solely as an opportunity to discredit their opponents.
The government has a responsibility to explain its policies and address legitimate grievances. Opposition parties have a responsibility to scrutinise those policies and present alternatives that account for France’s economic constraints.
Neither responsibility is served by minimising the destruction or dismissing peaceful demonstrators.
Analysis
The Likes of Kila in Our Society, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman
The Likes of Kila in Our Society, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman
There is something particularly troubling about a person who spends years telling society what is wrong with its leaders, questioning the integrity of public institutions, demanding transparency from those in authority and insisting that accountability is the bedrock of good governance, only to find himself confronted with questions about the very integrity he expects others to uphold. Such an act goes beyond personal embarrassment; it raises fundamental questions about the credibility of public intellectuals and the moral authority upon which their influence rests. The controversy surrounding Anthony Kila, a familiar voice in Nigeria’s public discourse, presents an uncomfortable but necessary question: can those who hold others accountable escape the same scrutiny they demand of everyone else?
In a country where public trust has suffered repeated injuries from political deception, institutional failures and the abuse of public office, the distinction between what a person preaches and what he practises matters enormously. Society needs people who can interrogate power without fear, challenge dishonesty without compromise and insist that public officials answer for their actions. But what happens when one of the voices making these demands becomes the subject of serious questions about his own credentials? What becomes of the argument for accountability when the advocate must himself account for the foundation of his public identity?
The investigations published by PREMIUM TIMES on October 3 and October 10, 2026, concerning Kila’s professorial title and claimed academic qualifications, have brought these questions into sharp focus. The first report found no evidence that a recognised academic institution had awarded him the professorial rank he had publicly used for years. The subsequent investigation questioned his claimed bachelor’s, master’s, doctoral and other qualifications, reporting discrepancies between his claims and information obtained from institutions he said he attended. Even though Kila has rejected the description of him as a fake professor, he maintained that he stands by his credentials and said he was gathering his academic and professional documents. These are serious allegations, and the appropriate investigations must be allowed to establish the facts. Nevertheless, the questions raised cannot be dismissed simply because they concern a familiar media personality rather than an elected politician.
What makes this controversy especially troubling is not merely the title at its centre but the public expectations attached to it. Kila has built a recognisable presence as a political analyst, public commentator and advocate of institutional accountability. His opinions have travelled through television studios, newspaper columns and public discussions. He has been part of the conversation through which Nigerians examine governance, leadership and the direction of their country. That influence should not be casually discounted, and neither should his intellectual contributions be retrospectively declared worthless because of the present controversy. The more important question is why a person with such visibility and the apparent ability to engage complex public issues would allow his professional identity to become entangled in claims that he must now struggle to substantiate.
There is a difference between possessing knowledge and possessing a certificate. There is also a difference between being intellectually capable and being entitled to an academic rank. A person may read widely, understand political economy, analyse public policy and contribute meaningfully to national debate without holding a doctorate or occupying a university professorship. Society has produced remarkable thinkers whose authority emerged from their work, experience and ability to explain difficult questions, not from the titles preceding their names. If Kila possesses the intellectual capacity that many of his admirers have attributed to him, why would any title beyond his demonstrable achievements be necessary to establish his worth?
In a society obsessed with titles, the temptation to embellish one’s credentials can become powerful. Professor, doctor, chief executive, consultant and international expert have become more than descriptions of professional standing. They are often treated as shortcuts to respect, invitations to television programmes, access to influential circles and opportunities to shape public decisions. The title can become more important than the substance of the person carrying it. Once society begins to reward appearances more generously than competence, those who understand the system may be tempted to manufacture the appearance rather than patiently establish the substance.
Yet the appetite for titles does not excuse the person who misrepresents his qualifications, if the allegations are established. It exposes both the individual and the society that makes such misrepresentation attractive. A genuine academic distinction is earned through recognised institutional processes, scholarship, teaching, research and assessment. It is not created by repeatedly describing oneself in a particular way, nor does public familiarity transform an unverified claim into an established fact. The title of professor carries an institutional meaning that cannot be replaced by personal conviction or public popularity.
On October 6, 2026, Michael and Cecilia Ibru University in Agbarha-Otor, Delta State, asked Kila to step aside from his responsibilities as pro-chancellor pending an investigation into questions surrounding his professorial status. The Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission also constituted a team to investigate the allegations. These developments demonstrate that the controversy has moved beyond social media arguments and personal reputations to questions about institutional responsibility. A university governing council is not an ornamental gathering. It exercises authority over administration, policy, finances and other important aspects of institutional governance. Anyone occupying such a position must be able to satisfy legitimate questions about qualifications presented in support of his public standing.
The implications extend beyond Kila because if a university can place a person in a position of considerable responsibility without adequately verifying the credentials associated with his public profile, what does that say about its recruitment and governance procedures? If television stations repeatedly introduce a commentator as a professor without independently establishing the basis of that designation, what does that say about editorial diligence? And if the public accepts titles as evidence of expertise without asking who conferred them, the institution that awarded them or the work supporting them, are we not collectively encouraging the culture we later condemn?
Also, ARISE News has announced on October 13, 2026, that Kila would no longer appear on its platforms following the allegations and its unsuccessful attempt to obtain his response within the period it specified. The action might be said to be an afterthought. The platform should have diligently do background checks on him before making him the face and the voice of his flagship show. Suspending him after the the expose is reactional.
There is, however, a wider moral problem in the conduct of people who demand from others standards they appear unwilling to apply to themselves. The politician who condemns corruption but manipulates public resources, the activist who preaches transparency but conceals his own dealings, the journalist who demands truth but publishes unverified allegations, and the public intellectual who questions the credentials of others while leaving his own claims unexplained all participate in the same culture of contradiction. Their positions differ, but the underlying failure is identical. They want the moral authority of accountability without accepting its personal obligations.
Such people can become particularly influential because they understand the language of public morality. They know how to identify institutional weaknesses, explain the consequences of poor governance and present themselves as alternatives to a compromised establishment. Their arguments may even be correct. But correctness on one issue does not automatically confer integrity in every other aspect of life. A person can make an excellent argument about corruption and still face legitimate questions about personal conduct. Intellectual brilliance is not a permanent certificate of moral innocence.
This is why the Kila controversy must not be reduced to an opportunity for mockery. Nigerians should resist the temptation to turn an unfolding investigation into a spectacle of humiliation. The objective is not to destroy a man because questions have arisen about his academic standing. It is to establish the truth, protect institutions from misrepresentation and reaffirm the principle that no individual should stand above scrutiny. If the claims against him are substantiated, appropriate consequences should follow. If he produces verifiable evidence that resolves the disputed issues, that evidence should receive fair consideration. Neither public anger nor personal admiration should determine the outcome.
What Kila could have demonstrated, and can still demonstrate through a credible response, is that accountability begins with oneself. His explanation must address the specific questions raised by the investigations, including the institution said to have conferred his professorship and the academic qualifications now being questioned. General assurances about his professional standing cannot substitute for documents that independent institutions can authenticate. Equally, any institution that endorsed his credentials must explain the basis of its decision.
The irony is that Kila did not need to become a professor to contribute to Nigeria’s public conversation. He did not need an impressive collection of degrees to develop an informed opinion about governance. His ability to communicate, analyse policies and participate in public debate could have been judged on its merits. A society hungry for credible voices should be capable of accepting an intelligent commentator without insisting that he carry an academic title. By contrast, where an individual presents credentials that cannot withstand verification, the damage reaches beyond personal reputation to the credibility of legitimate scholars whose achievements were earned through recognised institutions and years of work.
The likes of Kila in our society remind us that the fight against dishonesty cannot succeed through eloquent speeches alone. It requires personal consistency, institutional discipline and the willingness to submit one’s own claims to the standards applied to everyone else. Those who demand transparency must be transparent. Those who insist on accountability must be accountable. And those who advise society on integrity must understand that their conduct is not exempt from examination simply because their arguments sound convincing.
Perhaps the most important lesson is that being real is not a weakness. A person who honestly presents his qualifications, acknowledges his limitations and allows his work to speak for him can still earn public respect. There is dignity in being knowledgeable without claiming an unearned distinction, just as there is honour in admitting an error and correcting it. The public may forgive human shortcomings more readily than deliberate attempts to mislead it, because honesty gives people something upon which trust can be rebuilt.
Nigeria does not lack people who can speak impressively about good governance. What it lacks, too often, is consistency between public declarations and private conduct. The country needs fewer performances of integrity and more demonstrable integrity itself. Until we learn to judge public figures by the relationship between their words, credentials and actions, we will continue to celebrate the language of accountability while struggling to establish its practice.
The question, therefore, is not whether Anthony Kila can still contribute to society. He can, provided his contributions are judged on their merits and the questions surrounding his credentials are addressed honestly. The question is whether he, and others who occupy similar positions of influence, understand that credibility cannot be demanded from the public while verification is treated as an inconvenience.
Analysis
Nigeria’s 2027 Elections and the Unfinished Business of Diaspora Voting, by Boniface Ihiasota
Nigeria’s 2027 Elections and the Unfinished Business of Diaspora Voting, by Boniface Ihiasota
As Nigeria approaches the 2027 general elections, millions of Nigerians living abroad face a familiar democratic dilemma: they remain emotionally, economically and socially connected to their homeland, yet their ability to influence its political leadership through the ballot remains restricted. From London to Washington, Toronto to Johannesburg, and Dubai to other global cities, Nigerians in the diaspora have compelling reasons to prepare for the elections, even as the country continues to grapple with the legal barriers to diaspora voting.
The 2027 elections, scheduled for January 16, according to the Independent National Electoral Commission, will determine the leadership responsible for steering Nigeria through critical economic, security and governance challenges. The decisions made in Abuja and state capitals will affect citizens regardless of whether they live in Nigeria or abroad. These include exchange-rate policies, taxation, education, healthcare, security, investment regulations and the protection of property rights. Nigerians abroad therefore have legitimate reasons to follow the electoral process closely and demand accountability from those seeking public office.
However, preparation must begin with an important distinction: political participation is not the same as having a legally recognised opportunity to cast a ballot from overseas. Nigeria’s electoral framework has historically not provided for out-of-country voting. Although diaspora voting has featured in national debates and legislative proposals, the legal and administrative obstacles have remained significant.
The consequences extend beyond symbolism. Nigeria’s diaspora contributes to the economy through remittances, investment, professional expertise and business networks. The World Bank’s Migration and Development Brief estimated that Nigeria received approximately $20.9bn in personal remittances in 2022. Such financial contributions demonstrate the continuing relationship between Nigerians abroad and households at home. Yet economic contribution does not automatically translate into electoral influence. The challenge is how to ensure that citizens who contribute to national development can participate meaningfully in decisions about the country’s future.
The National Assembly has previously considered constitutional changes intended to enable diaspora voting. In March 2022, however, the proposed constitutional amendment was rejected during the legislative review process. The Nigerians in Diaspora Commission has criticised the setback, arguing that Nigerians abroad should not remain excluded from the democratic process. Subsequent proposals have continued to raise questions about electronic voting, voter verification, cybersecurity, electoral transparency and the practical cost of organising overseas polls. These concerns deserve serious consideration, but they should lead to workable solutions rather than indefinite postponement.
For Nigerians abroad, preparation for 2027 must therefore go beyond waiting for permission to vote. They can monitor INEC announcements, follow legislative developments, examine candidates’ records and scrutinise policy proposals. They can participate in lawful political discussions, support credible civic education initiatives, challenge misinformation and encourage relatives at home to make informed electoral decisions. Diaspora professionals can also contribute expertise in technology, election administration, cybersecurity and public accountability without becoming instruments of partisan manipulation.
Political parties should equally recognise that Nigerians abroad are not merely sources of remittances or occasional audiences for campaign speeches. They are citizens with knowledge of different governance systems, public institutions and economic practices. Their experiences can enrich national debate, provided their contributions are grounded in Nigeria’s realities rather than assumptions that foreign models can be transferred without adaptation.
The question surrounding the 2027 elections is not simply whether Nigerians abroad care about their country. Their sustained economic and personal connections already demonstrate that commitment. The more difficult question is whether Nigeria’s democratic institutions will create a credible, transparent and legally sound framework that allows eligible citizens overseas to exercise their electoral rights.
Until such arrangements are enacted and implemented, Nigerians abroad must remain informed, organised and engaged while respecting the law governing the elections. Democracy should not be reduced to the act of casting a ballot; it also requires informed scrutiny, civic responsibility and sustained demands for accountability. But these activities cannot permanently substitute for the right to vote.
Analysis
Africa’s Resources Must Build Africa, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman
Africa’s Resources Must Build Africa, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman
Across Africa lie enormous deposits of oil, gas, uranium, gold, lithium, cobalt, copper, diamonds and other strategic minerals, yet many of the countries sitting on these resources continue to struggle with poverty, unemployment, weak industrialisation and the steady movement of their young people towards Europe, North America and other destinations in search of better opportunities.
For decades, much of Africa’s natural wealth has travelled outward as raw material, while the greater economic value created through processing, refining, manufacturing and technology has accumulated elsewhere. Africa has supplied the resources that feed global industries, but has too often remained at the lower end of the economic chain, buying back finished products at prices far removed from what it earned when those raw materials left its soil.
That contradiction is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore because of what is happening in Niger Republic. Since General Abdourahamane Tiani came to power following the July 26, 2023 coup, his government has increasingly pursued greater control over Niger’s natural resources. What initially appeared to be part of the broader political rupture between Niamey and its former colonial power, France, has gradually developed into a wider policy of resource nationalism.
On June 19, 2025, Niger’s Council of Ministers approved the nationalisation of Société des Mines de l’Aïr, SOMAÏR, the uranium company operating at Arlit in the Agadez region. SOMAÏR was established in 1968 and began uranium production in 1971. Before nationalisation, French nuclear company Orano held 63.4 per cent, while Niger’s state mining company, SOPAMIN, held 36.6 per cent.
Between 1971 and 2024, SOMAÏR produced 81,861 tonnes of uranium, of which 80,518 tonnes were commercialised. Figures presented by the Nigerien government showed that Orano had taken 86.3 per cent of the commercialised production, while SOPAMIN accounted for 9.2 per cent.
In August 2026, the government took another step. It awarded the In Azaoua large-scale uranium mining permit in Arlit to Teloua Safeguarding Uranium Mining Company, TSUMCO, the state company created to replace SOMAÏR and continue operations over the former SOMAÏR perimeter. At its August 21 meeting, the Council of Ministers also approved the reassignment of another uranium permit, Madaouela I, to the state-linked Madaouela Mining Company.
The government has adopted a similar approach in the petroleum sector. On June 12, 2026, Niger’s Petroleum Minister, Hamadou Tini, announced that the government was reviewing the hydrocarbons code and preparing a new production-sharing contract model. He said the reforms were intended to strengthen the state’s negotiating capacity and increase the economic benefits accruing to Niger. He also disclosed plans to review provisions relating to cost recovery by petroleum operators and stressed the importance of training Nigerien professionals capable of negotiating more effectively with international companies.
Niger has also established MAZOUMAWA National Gold Company as part of its attempt to strengthen national control over gold resources and the country’s gold value chain. In January 2026, its Director-General, Abdou Ousseini, said the company intended to contribute to gold exploitation while controlling the valorisation and value chains of gold in Niger. The company had two exploration permits in the Dan Issa area and had collected more than 6,000 samples for analysis.
There is, therefore, something much bigger than the Niger-France dispute at stake. It is the ownership of Africa’s economic future.
For generations, the structure has remained remarkably familiar. Africa digs, pumps, cuts and exports. Someone elsewhere processes, refines, manufactures, finances and markets. The finished product eventually returns to African consumers at a considerably higher price.
That arrangement is not entirely without benefits. Foreign companies bring capital, technology, technical expertise, international markets and, in some cases, infrastructure that many African countries would struggle to provide on their own. The problem begins when that relationship becomes permanent, when Africa remains trapped at the extraction end of the value chain while the greater economic benefits of its resources accumulate elsewhere.
The African Union has recognised this problem for years through initiatives such as the African Mining Vision and its commodities strategy. The objective is for Africa to move from being primarily a supplier of raw materials towards greater value addition, stronger local content, higher returns from commodities and meaningful participation in global value chains.
The African Development Bank estimates that Africa possesses about 30 per cent of the world’s mineral reserves and could capture more than 10 per cent of the projected $16tn revenues from key green minerals by 2030. Yet the same institution reported that Africa received about $190.7bn in financial inflows in 2022 while losing approximately $587bn through financial leakages.
The implication is clear: Africa does not necessarily need to chase away foreign investors. It needs to become a better negotiator, a more capable participant and, ultimately, a stronger owner of the industries built around its own resources.
Botswana offers an important illustration. Its diamond industry was not built by simply shutting foreign capital out. Debswana, the company at the centre of Botswana’s diamond production, is jointly owned by the Government of Botswana and De Beers, with each holding 50 per cent. The partnership has become a major contributor to Botswana’s GDP, foreign exchange earnings and government revenue and employs about 5,000 staff and 6,000 contractors.
Tanzania has pursued another route by giving the state a minimum 16 per cent non-dilutable free-carried interest in mining companies, alongside taxation, royalties and other government participation mechanisms. Its local-content framework also seeks to ensure that Tanzanian companies participate in supplying goods and services to the mining industry.
Ghana has moved in a different direction. Rather than nationalising its gold mines, it has sought to increase domestic participation through regulation. Its 2025 local-content framework required surface mining operations to be undertaken by wholly Ghanaian-owned contractors, while underground contract mining requires at least 50 per cent Ghanaian ownership.
Zimbabwe’s lithium policy provides perhaps an even clearer example of beneficiation as a development strategy. After banning exports of unprocessed lithium ore in 2022, Zimbabwe announced in June 2025 that it would prohibit the export of lithium concentrates from January 1, 2027. The objective is to encourage greater domestic processing. Zimbabwe is Africa’s leading lithium producer, while Chinese-owned companies have invested more than $1bn in the country’s lithium sector since 2021.
If lithium is increasingly important to batteries and energy storage, Zimbabwe wants more of the economic activity generated by that demand to take place within Zimbabwe rather than elsewhere. That is precisely the direction Africa needs to consider.
The International Energy Agency reported in October 2025 that Africa captures less than one per cent of the value generated from manufacturing clean-energy technologies and their components, despite supplying around 75 per cent of global manganese, 70 per cent of cobalt and nearly 20 per cent of copper. The IEA estimates that moving into beneficiation, processing and manufacturing could raise the market value of minerals produced in Africa to about $120bn by 2040.
This is why the African Union’s Africa Green Minerals Strategy, adopted in March 2025, is significant. The strategy calls for Africa to move beyond raw mineral exports towards value addition at source, regional industrialisation, local beneficiation, job creation and economic diversification. The AU’s African Forum on Mining subsequently called for stronger continental bargaining power and high-level African critical-minerals diplomacy to ensure that mineral agreements prioritise local value addition rather than simply facilitate the export of raw materials.
Niger, therefore, should not be judged simply by whether its nationalisation policy succeeds or fails. Its experiment should be watched for what it reveals about both the possibilities and dangers of greater resource control.
National ownership does not automatically produce efficient management. A government can own a mine and still mismanage it. It can control petroleum and still import refined products. It can take over gold operations while communities around the mines remain poor. It can remove foreign companies and replace foreign inefficiency with domestic corruption.
Niger itself has already encountered some of these complications. Orano has pursued arbitration over the nationalisation of its interest in SOMAÏR. In September 2025, Reuters reported that about 1,500 tonnes of uranium, valued at roughly $270m, remained stockpiled at the former SOMAÏR mine. Orano had begun arbitration proceedings and warned against the material being transferred or sold without authorisation.
A country seeking greater control over its resources needs competent geologists, engineers, lawyers, accountants, negotiators, regulators and financial institutions. It needs reliable electricity, roads, railways and ports. It needs research institutions capable of developing technology. It needs transparent contracts and systems through which citizens can know what governments receive from their natural resources and how those revenues are spent.
Without these foundations, nationalisation can become an expensive political gesture. But Africa should not allow the imperfections of resource nationalism to become an excuse for maintaining a system in which the continent remains primarily an exporter of raw materials.
Nigeria illustrates the urgency. The country has oil, gas, gold, lithium, iron ore, coal and other minerals, but its economic history has repeatedly demonstrated the danger of exporting natural resources without developing sufficient downstream capacity.
The Tinubu administration has increasingly emphasised local processing and value addition in critical minerals. In July 2026, President Bola Tinubu commissioned a $250m lithium mining and processing plant in Nasarawa State with a capacity of 6,000 tonnes of lithium processing per day. It was described as Africa’s largest lithium processing facility.
Nigeria should not stop at processing lithium. It should be thinking about the battery industry, electric vehicles, energy-storage systems, industrial chemicals, research and the skilled workforce required to support those industries.
The same thinking should apply across Africa. A Congolese citizen living beside cobalt deposits should have access to opportunities created by cobalt. A Zambian living around copper mines should benefit from industries built around copper. A Ghanaian should see gold not merely as something extracted and exported, but as an opportunity for refining, jewellery, financial services and manufacturing. A Nigerien should be able to look at uranium and see engineering, science, technology and industrial opportunities. And a Nigerian should be able to look at oil and gas without accepting that the country’s natural destiny is simply to export crude and import refined products.
If Africa can retain more value from its resources, that value can help finance universities, technical schools, electricity, transport infrastructure, healthcare, manufacturing and technology. Those investments can create productive employment. Productive employment can reduce the economic pressure pushing young Africans towards foreign shores.
The real lesson from Niger, therefore, is not that every African government should wake up tomorrow and nationalise every foreign-owned mine, oilfield or industrial operation. That would be a simplistic reading of what is happening. The lesson is that the old bargain deserves serious reconsideration.
Africa should welcome investors, but it should negotiate better. It should welcome technology, but build its own capacity. It should welcome international capital, but ensure that African capital also grows. It should permit extraction, but demand value addition. It should collect royalties and taxes, but also build industries around the resources generating them.
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