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Kenya 2027: Ruto’s defiance on power transfer fuels talk of a cornered presidency

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President William Ruto’s declaration that he won’t relinquish power to the opposition has intensified fears of democratic erosion and raised questions about whether he is beginning to panic.

Speaking on 17 June in the Rift Valley town of Naivasha, Ruto ridiculed his opponents as “tribalists with no plan” and appeared to mock the idea of conceding defeat. “We cannot hand over leadership to such people,” he told supporters in the west of the capital, Nairobi. However, he later added that leadership is not defined by how many terms one serves, but critics say the damage is already done.

His comments have ignited fears that the president, who campaigned as a reformer, is now laying the groundwork for a disputed election and an unconstitutional power grab. To many Kenyans, his remarks crossed the line. Critics say they signal not just contempt for the opposition, but for constitutional democracy itself.

“Kenya is a constitutional democracy, not your empire,” said constitutional lawyer Willis Otieno, stressing that under the Kenyan constitution, the peaceful transfer of power is not optional: “If Ruto loses and refuses to hand over, the inauguration will go on with or without him.”

Under the Assumption of the Office of President Act, once the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) declares a winner and the Supreme Court affirms it, the handover must proceed. If the outgoing president boycotts the ceremony, his absence won’t invalidate the transition.

If Ruto refuses to hand over the ceremonial sword and Constitution — symbols of executive authority — he will become the first Kenyan leader since independence in 1963 to flout this democratic ritual.

A presidency under pressure?

Analysts say behind Ruto’s bravado lies a growing sense of unease ahead of the next election. The economy is teetering under the weight of public debt and high cost of living, protests are surging, and a more unified opposition is beginning to emerge.

Ruto may have delivered on some key policy interventions, but poor communications, economic pain, and police brutality have made him deeply unpopular

His former deputy, Rigathi Gachagua, has teamed up with political heavyweights including Kalonzo Musyoka, Eugene Wamalwa, Martha Karua and Fred Matiang’i to forge a united front. Gachagua was quick to respond to the president’s remarks: “It’s good that Ruto has admitted he will be ousted,” he told a rally in Kirinyaga county.

At the same time, Ruto allies have made public comments that further inflamed concerns. “Even if he does not get enough votes, we shall add him more,” said Oscar Sudi, MP for Kapseret. Senate majority leader Aaron Cheruiyot added, “It is our responsibility to uphold the tradition of two-term presidencies.”

The rhetoric has raised fears that the 2027 election may not be fought on a level playing field or respected if lost.

The Gen-Z factor

For many young Kenyans, Ruto’s words seem to confirm a broader shift away from democratic norms. On 17 June—the same day he made his remarks—police opened fire on peaceful Gen-Z protesters in Nairobi, following the death in custody of 31-year-old blogger Albert Ojwang. Shocking footage, including a protester being shot at close range, quickly went viral.

Kenya is a constitutional democracy, not your empire

Amnesty International Kenya called it “a dark day for the right to protest”, accusing the state of deploying “violent groups with support from the very authorities meant to protect us”.

Gachagua condemned the brutality, calling it “one of the lowest moments in our post-independence history”, and accused Ruto of turning Kenya into “a pariah state”.

The protests are the latest expression of youth-led frustration over rising inequality, police brutality and the president’s perceived betrayal of his 2022 campaign promises.

After the 2024 Finance Bill protests, Ruto sought détente with veteran opposition leader Raila Odinga, co-opting parts of his ODM party into government. But even Raila’s support or silence may not be enough to rescue the president’s battered image. ODM Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna is among those unconvinced that an alliance would help. “Ruto has lost the people. Even if Raila supports him, he will still lose,” Sifuna said.

Analysts agree that the opposition still lacks cohesion, but say a credible challenger like Matiang’i, the former interior minister, could mount a serious campaign. “Ruto may have delivered on some key policy interventions,” says political analyst Dismas Mokua, “but poor communications, economic pain, and police brutality have made him deeply unpopular”.

A stress test for Kenyan democracy

Ruto’s comments may have been intended to project strength, but many say it instead exposed his growing vulnerability.

With the economy fragile, opposition unity on the rise and youth protests building momentum, the real question is no longer just whether Ruto can win a second term but whether Kenya’s democracy can survive the pressure.

“Ruto has shot himself in the foot,” says governance expert Torosterdt Alenga. “It’s clear the handover of power could be contested. His allies are rattled and for good reason. 2027 is no longer a sure thing.”

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CARICOM Seeks More Investment, Partnerships to Tackle NCDs, Mental Health

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CARICOM Seeks More Investment, Partnerships to Tackle NCDs, Mental Health

 

Secretary-General of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), Dr. Carla Barnett, has said that ending the epidemic of Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) and addressing mental health challenges will require fresh investment, innovative financing, stronger partnerships and bold policy action.

 

Dr. Barnett made this known on Thursday while addressing a High-Level Breakfast on NCDs and Mental Health, held on the sidelines of the 80th United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York.

 

She recalled that since the landmark 2007 Port-of-Spain Declaration, CARICOM has championed a multi-sectoral response to NCDs, introducing initiatives such as Caribbean Wellness Day and the elimination of trans fats.

 

However, she lamented that despite some progress, most Member States are off track to meet the 2025 global target of reducing premature NCD mortality by 25 per cent, with only Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, and Grenada showing encouraging results.

 

The Secretary-General underscored the need for greater financial commitment and collaboration at both regional and global levels.

 

According to her, the reality of limited fiscal resources in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) has slowed progress, making it necessary to explore innovative financing mechanisms, strengthen public-private partnerships and enhance monitoring frameworks.

 

Dr. Barnett noted that the worsening impacts of climate change are also aggravating health challenges in the Region, while rising cases of mental health conditions present an additional burden.

 

Vulnerable populations, including persons with disabilities and the elderly, she said, remain at particular risk.

 

“While daunting, ending the epidemic of NCDs in CARICOM is not an insurmountable task. The lessons learnt over the past 18 years can strategically position the Caribbean Community in the next decade,” she said, stressing the need for renewed commitment from governments, development partners and civil society.

 

She further called for stronger social safety nets, legislative action, and investment in assistive living technologies for the ageing population.

 

Dr. Barnett commended the Caribbean Public Health Agency (CARPHA), the Pan-American Health Organization/World Health Organization (PAHO/WHO), and the Healthy Caribbean Coalition (HCC) for their role in advancing health initiatives, while also acknowledging the political will demonstrated by CARICOM Heads of Government.

 

Reaffirming CARICOM’s resolve, Dr. Barnett maintained that sustainable progress against NCDs and mental health challenges would only be achieved through collective commitment, increased funding and equitable policy responses that put people at the centre.

 

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Kenyan Police Declare ₦11m Bounty on Fugitive Serial Killer 

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Kenyan Police Declare ₦11m Bounty on Fugitive Serial Killer 

 

Kenyan police have announced a reward of 1 million shillings (about ₦11 million) for information leading to the arrest of Collins Jumaisi Khalusha, a suspected serial killer accused of murdering more than 40 women in Nairobi.

 

Khalusha, who was arrested in August 2024, escaped from custody shortly after his detention, alongside 12 other inmates, in what has become one of the country’s most embarrassing security lapses.

 

He reportedly cut through a wire mesh roof and scaled a perimeter wall at a police station considered one of Nairobi’s most secure — located near the US Embassy and UN offices.

 

The suspect had been linked to the gruesome killings of young women, aged between 18 and 30, whose mutilated bodies were discovered in a disused quarry in the capital.

 

Outrage has continued to trail the police’s inability to re-arrest him more than a year after the jailbreak.

 

Human rights activist, Khalid Hussein, accused authorities of failing to take the matter seriously, alleging that some bodies were still rotting in the quarry.

 

He described the latest reward announcement as a reaction to public embarrassment caused by a local TV documentary on the unsolved murders.

 

“This one million shillings reward is absolutely useless. It is a reaction, not a commitment,” Hussein said.

 

The Directorate of Criminal Investigations (DCI), in a post on X, promised to pay the bounty to anyone who provides “credible information” that leads to Khalusha’s re-arrest.

 

Police had previously announced a reward last year, but without specifying an amount.

 

Several officers were also arrested on suspicion of aiding the escape but were later released on bail.

 

The case has put Kenyan law enforcement under intense scrutiny, with many citizens questioning how a mass killer could have been allowed to slip through the cracks, especially as the crime scene was barely 100 metres from a police station.

 

At the time of Khalusha’s arrest, DCI chief Mohamed Amin described him as “a psychopathic serial killer who has no respect for human life.”

 

He was scheduled to face multiple murder charges before his disappearance.

 

Interior Minister Kipchumba Murkomen, reacting to the escape, described the incident as “regrettable” and “a sad story,” while expressing hope that the fugitive would soon be captured.

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CARICOM Pushes Climate, Development Agenda at UNGA 80

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CARICOM Pushes Climate, Development Agenda at UNGA 80

 

The Caribbean Community (CARICOM) has confirmed its participation in the 80th Session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), billed to hold in New York from September 20 to 29, 2025.

 

The regional bloc will be represented by Secretary-General, Dr. Carla Barnett, and the Assistant Secretary-General for Foreign and Community Relations, Ms. Elizabeth Solomon, alongside Heads of Government and Foreign Ministers.

 

According to a statement from the CARICOM Secretariat, the delegation will use the high-level meetings, bilateral engagements, side events and the General Debate to advance the region’s positions on climate action, sustainable development, peacebuilding and global health.

 

Heads of Government from the region are expected to participate in the General Debate from September 23 to 27, with Suriname delivering the opening statement on behalf of the Community.

 

On September 22, CARICOM will join the UNGA’s High-Level Meeting commemorating the 80th Anniversary of the United Nations, as well as a High-Level Event on the Multilateral Support System hosted by Kenyan President, William Ruto.

 

Dr. Barnett is also billed to play a central role in several other engagements, including the signing of an MoU between UNCTAD and CARICOM, a High-Level Meeting on Haiti, and the First Biennial Summit for a Sustainable, Inclusive and Resilient Global Economy.

 

Other engagements will centre on climate mobility, non-communicable diseases and mental health.

 

CARICOM’s leadership on the Haitian crisis will again be spotlighted in a Roundtable Discussion titled “Making the Case for Haiti” on September 22, where ASG Solomon is expected to lead the Community’s interventions.

 

Beyond UNGA events, Solomon will represent CARICOM at the Atlantic Council Global Citizen Awards, while Foreign Ministers will participate in the Commonwealth Foreign Affairs Ministers Meeting, hold talks with Nordic counterparts, and join the EU-CELAC Foreign Ministers Meeting.

 

They will also convene the 24th Special Meeting of the Council for Foreign and Community Relations (COFCOR) on September 22 to deliberate on key foreign policy issues and upcoming international engagements.

 

Speaking ahead of the session, Solomon described COFCOR as “a very important opportunity” for the bloc to align its positions before the high-level week begins.

 

The UNGA 80, themed “Better Together: 80 Years and More for Peace, Development and Human Rights,” comes at a time the global community is seeking to reinforce solidarity and renew its commitment to multilateralism.

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