Connect with us

Analysis

As G20 Moves On Without America, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman 

Published

on

As G20 Moves On Without America, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman 

 

 

When the G20 summit convened this November in Johannesburg, the first time the gathering has ever been held on African soil, one seat was starkly empty. The world’s largest economy, the Donald J. Trump-led United States, simply refused to attend. No president, no senior envoy, not even a delegation. The absence was louder than any diplomatic communiqué, a void that hung over the proceedings like an unspoken challenge.

 

For weeks before the summit, Trump had telegraphed the boycott. He announced that no U.S. official would participate, calling it “a total disgrace” that the gathering was being hosted in South Africa. He justified the walkout with allegations that Pretoria was enabling abuses against its white-minority Afrikaner community and presiding over land seizures and a supposed “white genocide”—claims widely rejected within South Africa and dismissed by many global observers. Still, he held to his stance, ensuring that the United States would be missing from the table it once dominated.

 

Yet the empty chair did not halt the summit. Far from it. When the doors closed and the work began, more than forty countries and organisations had confirmed their participation. According to South Africa’s foreign-affairs minister, a total of forty-two delegations were registered: twenty G20 member states (excluding the U.S.), sixteen invited guest nations, and six representing regional economic blocs across Africa, the Caribbean and East Asia. It was one of the most diverse gatherings in the forum’s history.

 

Of the twenty G20 member states, a clear majority sent their heads of state or government. Four countries opted for high-level substitutes: Russia, Mexico and Argentina sent their foreign ministers or equivalents, while China was represented by its Premier rather than President Xi Jinping. Apart from these deviations and the complete American boycott, the turnout remained strong. At least sixteen G20 countries had their top leadership present, a level consistent with or even above several previous summits.

 

The question, then, is what this moment signifies—for the G20, for Africa’s place in global governance, and for a world increasingly shaped by fractured geopolitics.

 

The symbolic dimension is impossible to ignore. For decades the United States has been the gravitational centre of global economic coordination, the anchor whose participation guaranteed that G20 pronouncements could be translated into global action. Without Washington in the room, many of the traditional levers of influence like financial stability mechanisms, trade dynamics, institutional power felt looser and less predictable. The absence introduced doubt: could the G20 still claim to be the premier platform for steering the global economy if its most powerful member stayed away? Some analysts wondered whether the forum’s future was in jeopardy.

 

Yet paradoxically, the boycott created breathing space. Instead of collapsing under the weight of American non-participation, the summit moved forward with surprising cohesion. Leaders adopted a 122-point declaration issued unusually on the summit’s opening day that centred on climate action, debt sustainability, energy transition and global inequality. These were not peripheral concerns but core priorities, particularly for developing economies. And critically, they reflected Africa’s agenda far more directly than in past years.

 

For Africa, a continent long relegated to the fringes of global decision-making, the Johannesburg summit brought a subtle but significant shift. It marked a moment where issues that have shaped African suffering and aspiration, unsustainable debt, climate vulnerability, access to green energy, development finance were not treated as charity cases or footnotes but as global imperatives. South Africa’s leadership in shaping the agenda was evident: it shepherded conversations that placed the continent not as a crisis zone but as a partner with agency.

 

Even the ending of the summit carried symbolism. The traditional handover of the G20 presidency, typically marked by the passing of a wooden gavel from one host to the next, did not unfold in its usual choreography. President Cyril Ramaphosa brought the meeting to a close with a strike of the gavel, but there was no American official to step forward and receive the ceremonial baton. The moment underscored the deeper reality: the world’s most powerful nation had chosen absence in a year when Africa chose presence.

 

Naturally, this raised concerns. If powerful states begin treating multilateral forums as optional, depending on domestic politics or ideological sentiments, the foundations of global governance weaken. The G20 has played central roles in navigating financial crises, stabilising commodity markets, coordinating pandemic responses and mobilizing climate finance. A precedent where a superpower boycotts the summit could encourage similar behaviour by others in future moments of crisis. The potential ripple effects on global trust, crisis management and economic coordination are worrying.

 

But Johannesburg also demonstrated that the G20 is more adaptable than its critics assume. Instead of paralysis, the summit produced consensus. Instead of division, it surfaced shared interests. And instead of waiting for the United States to validate decisions, countries across continents showed that cooperation was still possible, even necessary, without America’s guiding hand.

 

For many African nations, this sense of possibility was palpable. For years, they have been the subjects of global policies drafted in distant capitals. In Johannesburg, they felt more like contributors. The declaration reflected structural concerns that matter from Lagos to Nairobi: access to concessional finance, green industrialization, fair energy transition pathways, investment in resilience rather than repeated cycles of vulnerability. These were not afterthoughts but central pillars.

 

Still, optimism should remain grounded. Declarations alone do not build roads, transition energy grids or relieve debt burdens. They do not shift the voting power held by wealthy nations in global financial institutions. And they do not erase the influence the United States wields over the IMF, World Bank and other structures that control the flow of global capital. Even in absence, Washington’s shadow is long.

 

At the same time, the boycott raises uncomfortable questions about the future. If summits can be walked away from because of domestic political narratives or ideological disagreements, the global architecture becomes more fragile. Future crises, whether debt shocks, pandemics, food shortages or climate-induced disasters require collaboration and not boycotts. A forum that can be abandoned sets troubling precedents.

 

Yet this moment may also become a hinge in history. Not because it solves everything, but because it marks a shift in rhythm. It shows the system bending, under pressure, toward greater inclusion. It proves that Africa can host, convene and even lead. More than nineteen members signed the declaration; voices from the Global South resonated with unusual clarity. And for once, those who are often asked to wait for the powerful to decide had already begun making decisions of their own.

 

For Nigeria, the implications are profound. The global conversation is moving toward issues that directly affect its development path: debt restructuring, climate resilience, green industrial transformation, food security and transparent governance. Nigeria must engage with these shifts deliberately. Declarations will mean little if national policy fails to align with them. The country needs bold investments in climate adaptation, expanded support for agriculture and manufacturing, improved fiscal management and stronger accountability mechanisms. Its diaspora and civil society have roles to play as watchdogs, advocates and bridges linking global promises to local action.

 

The United States will remain central in global affairs. Its currency, markets and institutional power ensure that. But the Johannesburg summit demonstrated something important: relevance in the G20 is no longer solely measured by presence. Sometimes absence reshapes the conversation more than participation. The empty chair at Johannesburg was not just a diplomatic symbol; it became a catalyst for rethinking old assumptions.

 

The challenge now is to ensure that the space created by that absence is not wasted. The real measure of success will lie in implementation in whether climate justice initiatives become real funding pipelines, whether debt deals become fairer, whether green energy investments materialise, and whether global decisions begin to reflect the needs of people from Kenya to Ghana, rather than only those in United States or Germany. It will lie in whether African leaders rise to the occasion, using the moment to insist on equity rather than settling for symbolism.

 

The world watched as the G20 pressed on, limping perhaps, but moving. And Africa did more than host; it spoke, it influenced, it guided. If Nigeria and the rest of the continent seize the momentum, the reverberation of that gavel strike in Johannesburg could echo not only through global institutions but through local communities seeking fairness and development.

 

In the end, the empty seat left behind by the United States did not define the summit. The G20 may not have needed America to agree on a declaration in 2025. But building a future that transcends absence will require a different kind of presence.

 

If Africa answers that call, history may yet record that the empty chair marked not a failure, but the beginning of something new.

 

Alabidun is a media practitioner and can be reached via alabidungoldenson@gmail.com

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Analysis

The Trump Doctrine: How One President Became the World’s Peacemaker and Africa’s Loudest Defender

Published

on

The Trump Doctrine: How One President Became the World’s Peacemaker and Africa’s Loudest Defender

 

By Boniface Ihiasota

 

For decades, the world watched leaders arrive in motorcades, speak in polished grammar, and leave behind communiqués filled with “diplomatic concern.” Then came Donald J. Trump — a leader who doesn’t do diplomatic drama. He does results.

 

And last night, the world saw it again. “Tonight, at my direction, brave American forces and the Armed Forces of Nigeria flawlessly executed a meticulously planned and very complex mission to eliminate the most active terrorist in the world from the battlefield.”

 

Abu-Bilal al-Minuki — ISIS number two — thought he could hide in Africa. He thought wrong. Under President Trump, America doesn’t ask permission to fight evil. It hunts it down, partner by partner, click by click, until the chain breaks.

 

This is the Trump difference.

 

I’ve covered three U.S. Presidents from this city. I’ve seen the speeches, the summits, the photo-ops. But I have never seen a Commander-in-Chief stationed — mentally, morally, militarily — in every corner of the globe the way Donald Trump is. From the Middle East to Europe, the Caribbean to Africa, he isn’t managing crises. He’s ending them.

 

1. HE WORKS THE TALK

 

Trump promised to make America safe. He’s doing it. He promised to make the world safe. He’s on it. Ukraine and Russia are talking peace, not war. East Africa is breathing after years of proxy chaos. Iran’s terror networks are being dismantled, not negotiated with. This is not foreign policy by press release. This is peace through strength — and it’s working.

 

2. HE TOOK THE FIGHT TO THE CARTELS AND THE CALIPHATE

 

While others debated “root causes,” Trump went for the roots. The cartel regions that bled nations dry are now hunting grounds for U.S. precision and allied resolve. Terror leadership isn’t being “contained.” It’s being eliminated. Al-Minuki’s death proves it: under Trump, there is no safe harbor for those who murder the innocent.

 

3. HE SAID THE WORDS NO ONE ELSE WOULD: “CHRISTIAN GENOCIDE IN NIGERIA”

 

For years, villages in Nigeria and across West Africa were burned while the world looked away. Past administrations sent “thoughts.” President Trump sent a message: America sees you. America hears you. America is coming. He called out the slaughter of Christians when global leaders chose silence. He named the terrorists when others called them “militants.” And last night, he backed those words with action — a joint U.S.-Nigeria strike that took ISIS leadership off the board.

 

This is not the America of 2014 that hesitated to help Nigeria. This is Trump’s America: decisive, loyal to allies, and allergic to evil.

 

4. HIS UNITED NATIONS DOCTRINE: LEADERSHIP BY ACTION, NOT TALK

 

At the United Nations General Assembly, while others traded pleasantries and empty pledges, President Trump drew a line in the sand: “The world does not need another speech. It needs a shield. Real leadership is not measured by the beauty of your words, but by the lives you save and the evil you stop.”

 

He told the world body what Africa, the Middle East, and every terror-ravaged region already knew — summits don’t stop slaughter. Strength does. Action does. Example does. And under his watch, America leads by doing, not by debating.

 

5. HE IS THE LEADER THE WORLD DIDN’T KNOW IT WAS WAITING FOR

 

A lot of people lack what Trump has: the enthronement of real leadership. Not talk. Not charm. Capacity. The capacity to make a call at 2AM and change the map by sunrise. The capacity to walk into Beijing, Moscow, Tehran, or Abuja and be both respected and feared.

 

The world is tired of leaders who are good at grammar and bad at government. Trump promised to bring back peace, and piece by piece, continent by continent, he is.

 

So let’s stop pretending this is about Trump caring for himself. President Donald J. Trump cares about the world. And today, from the Sahel to the South China Sea, the evidence is undeniable: when America leads with strength and moral clarity, humanity wins. The era of blank checks for chaos is over. The era of Trump’s peace doctrine has begun.

 

God sent a fighter. And the world is finally safe enough to admit it.

Continue Reading

Analysis

On the Killing of ISIS Second-in-Command in Nigeria, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman

Published

on

On the Killing of ISIS Second-in-Command in Nigeria, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman

 

For years, the global war against terrorism was framed largely through the lens of the Middle East — Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan and the broader Arabian Peninsula. Yet, in the last decade, the epicentre of extremist violence has quietly shifted toward Africa, particularly the Sahel and the Lake Chad Basin. The reported killing of Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, described by both American and Nigerian authorities as the second-in-command of the Islamic State, ISIS globally, therefore represents far more than another battlefield casualty. It is a defining moment in the evolution of terrorism and counterterrorism in Africa.

 

On May 16, 2026, the United States and Nigeria announced a joint military operation that reportedly eliminated al-Minuki in the Lake Chad Basin, one of the most volatile theatres of insurgency in Africa. United States President Donald Trump described the operation as “meticulously planned and very complex,” while President Bola Tinubu hailed it as a major blow against the Islamic State network operating across West Africa.

 

The significance of the operation lies not merely in the elimination of a single terrorist commander, but in what it reveals about the changing architecture of global jihadism. Africa is no longer a peripheral front in extremist warfare; it has become its strategic centre of gravity.

 

Abu-Bilal al-Minuki was not an ordinary insurgent commander. Security assessments and intelligence reports linked him to the Islamic State West Africa Province, the ISWAP faction that emerged after Boko Haram’s split in 2016. He was reportedly involved in coordinating logistics, financing, propaganda operations and regional expansion across the Sahel. American authorities had designated him a “Specially Designated Global Terrorist” in 2023, an indication of the seriousness with which United States viewed his activities.

 

According to multiple intelligence-linked reports, al-Minuki was born in Borno State around 1982 and rose through the ranks of Boko Haram before aligning with the Islamic State network after Boko Haram pledged allegiance to ISIS in 2015. It was believed that his alias “al-Minuki” or “Mainok” derived from Mainok town in Borno State, following the regional tradition of identifying individuals by hometowns or clan affiliations.

 

This detail is important because it underscores a painful truth Nigeria has long struggled to confront: terrorism in the country is not simply an imported ideology; it is also a product of domestic fractures linking weak governance, ideological radicalisation, porous borders and decades of state neglect in the North-East among others.

 

The Lake Chad Basin itself has become one of the world’s most dangerous ungoverned spaces. Spanning Nigeria, Chad, Niger and Cameroon, the region’s marshlands and difficult terrain have enabled insurgent groups to establish fortified enclaves largely beyond the reach of conventional military operations. It is within this environment that ISWAP evolved from a regional insurgency into an internationally connected terror franchise.

 

The rise of ISWAP marked a strategic shift from Boko Haram’s earlier indiscriminate brutality. While Boko Haram under Abubakar Shekau relied heavily on mass civilian killings, village burnings and suicide bombings, ISWAP adopted a more calculated approach. It targeted military formations, imposed taxation systems in occupied communities and sought to present itself as an alternative governing authority. That strategic sophistication reportedly made figures like al-Minuki invaluable to ISIS central leadership.

 

What perhaps alarmed Western intelligence agencies most was the increasing integration between African jihadist networks and the broader Islamic State structure. American officials reportedly linked al-Minuki to ISIS’s General Directorate of Provinces and the al-Furqan media apparatus, structures central to the group’s global coordination and propaganda. This explains why his killing has drawn such international attention.

 

For Nigeria, however, the matter goes beyond global security calculations. The country has endured nearly two decades of insurgency since Boko Haram launched its violent uprising in 2009. According to estimates from humanitarian agencies and conflict monitoring groups, more than 35,000 people have been killed directly by the insurgency, while millions have been displaced across the North-East. Entire communities have been erased, agricultural systems disrupted and local economies destroyed.

 

The insurgency also exposed serious institutional weaknesses within Nigeria’s security architecture. Successive governments repeatedly claimed victory over terrorists, only for attacks to intensify afterward. Indeed, the controversy surrounding al-Minuki’s death illustrates this credibility challenge. Nigerian military sources had reportedly listed a commander bearing similar names among insurgents killed in Kaduna operations in 2024. The Presidency later explained that the earlier identification was likely a case of mistaken identity or battlefield misattribution.

 

Such contradictions have historically fuelled public scepticism. Nigerians have heard repeated declarations about the elimination of notorious terrorist leaders, only for those same figures to resurface later. The late Boko Haram leader, Abubakar Shekau, was reportedly declared dead multiple times before his actual death was confirmed in 2021. This pattern has understandably weakened public confidence in official military claims. Yet, if current reports are accurate, the elimination of al-Minuki would indeed represent a major operational success.

 

Still, history teaches that terrorism rarely collapses because of the death of a single leader. Terrorist organisations are designed to survive decapitation strikes. Leadership replacement mechanisms are usually embedded within their structures. In many cases, younger and even more radical commanders emerge after senior figures are killed.

 

The United States learned this lesson after the killing of Osama bin Laden in 2011. Al-Qaeda weakened but did not disappear. The death of ISIS founder Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in 2019 similarly failed to extinguish the group. Instead, ISIS decentralised further, shifting operational focus toward Africa where fragile states, weak borders and local grievances created fertile conditions for expansion.

 

Indeed, security analysts now estimate that a substantial percentage of ISIS-linked attacks globally occur in sub-Saharan Africa. This is a deeply troubling development for Nigeria because it means the country increasingly occupies a frontline position in global counterterrorism efforts. The implications are both strategic and political.

 

Strategically, Nigeria’s military partnership with the United States appears to be entering a new phase. The joint operation against al-Minuki signals growing intelligence sharing, surveillance cooperation and operational coordination between both countries.

 

This is notable because relations between the two countries had recently experienced friction over allegations concerning religious persecution and broader security concerns. Yet, the al-Minuki operation suggests that mutual security interests ultimately prevailed over diplomatic disagreement.

 

However, foreign military cooperation also raises difficult sovereignty questions. Nigeria must avoid becoming excessively dependent on external powers for internal security management. Counterterrorism support is valuable, but no foreign partner can permanently secure Nigeria if the country fails to address the internal conditions feeding extremism. And this is perhaps the most important lesson from the al-Minuki episode. Terrorism in Nigeria cannot be defeated solely through military force.

 

Military operations may eliminate commanders, destroy camps and recover territories, but they do not automatically erase extremist ideology. The North-East crisis has always been multidimensional. In several insurgency-affected communities, the Nigerian state remains largely absent except through military presence. Schools are inadequate, hospitals scarce and infrastructure severely underdeveloped. In such environments, extremist groups exploit grievances and recruit vulnerable youths with alarming ease.

 

The challenge becomes even more dangerous when insurgency merges with banditry, arms trafficking and transnational organised crime. The Sahel today is experiencing precisely this convergence. Terrorist groups increasingly finance themselves through kidnapping, smuggling and illegal taxation networks. The ideological and criminal dimensions reinforce each other. This is why the killing of al-Minuki should not become an excuse for premature triumphalism. Rather, it should serve as an opportunity for sober reflection.

 

Nigeria must now ask itself difficult questions. Why has the insurgency endured for nearly seventeen years? Why do extremist groups continue regenerating despite repeated military offensives? Why do fragile communities remain vulnerable to radicalisation? And perhaps most importantly, what kind of post-conflict reconstruction framework truly exists for the North-East?

 

Counterterrorism victories are meaningful only when they translate into lasting civilian security. The humanitarian cost of the insurgency remains staggering. Millions remain displaced. Thousands of children have lost access to education. Farmers in many communities still cannot safely cultivate their lands. Women and girls continue facing profound vulnerabilities within displacement camps. These realities are often overshadowed whenever attention shifts toward high-profile terrorist killings.

 

There is also the broader African dimension. The instability stretching from Nigeria through Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso and Chad reflects a continental security crisis that conventional military responses alone cannot solve. Governance deficits, military coups, climate stress, ethnic rivalries and economic despair collectively create conditions in which extremist networks flourish. Africa’s terrorism crisis is therefore inseparable from its governance crisis.

 

This reality explains why ISIS increasingly views Africa as its future operational base. Weak institutions create strategic opportunities. Vast ungoverned territories provide safe havens. Fragile states offer limited resistance. Unless African governments collectively address these structural weaknesses, extremist networks will continue adapting regardless of how many commanders are eliminated.

 

For grieving communities across the North-East, every disrupted terror network matters. Every prevented attack matters. Every dismantled command structure matters. The operation demonstrates that coordinated intelligence and military cooperation can produce significant results.

 

The true test will lie in what follows next, whether Nigeria can consolidate tactical gains into strategic stability; whether communities devastated by conflict can be genuinely rehabilitated; whether governance can return to neglected territories; and whether the cycle of radicalisation can finally be broken.

 

Alabidun is a media practitioner and can be reached via alabidungoldenson@gmail.com

Continue Reading

Analysis

Bianca Ojukwu and Nigeria’s Firm Stand Against South African Xenophobia

Published

on

Bianca Ojukwu and Nigeria’s Firm Stand Against South African Xenophobia

 

By Boniface Ihiasota

 

In the troubled history of African migration and xenophobic violence, few developments have tested Nigeria’s diplomatic resolve in recent years like the renewed attacks on Africans in South Africa. For many Nigerians in the diaspora, the recurring hostility against fellow Africans in a country once rescued from apartheid partly through African solidarity has become both painful and deeply ironic. At the centre of Nigeria’s latest diplomatic response is the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Bianca Odumegwu-Ojukwu, whose handling of the crisis has drawn attention across the continent.

 

The recent wave of anti-immigrant protests in Johannesburg, Pretoria and Durban reopened old wounds. Foreign nationals, particularly black Africans, were again accused of taking jobs, contributing to crime and burdening public services. Nigerians, as in previous episodes of xenophobic unrest, found themselves among the major targets. In response, Bianca Ojukwu adopted a tone that combined diplomacy with unmistakable firmness.

 

Unlike the cautious language that often characterises African diplomacy, the minister spoke with unusual clarity. She declared publicly that Nigeria “cannot stand by and watch the systematic harassment and humiliation” of its citizens in South Africa. That statement resonated strongly among Nigerians abroad who have long complained that African governments often react too slowly whenever migrants become victims of mob violence or political scapegoating.

 

Her intervention went beyond rhetoric. Nigeria summoned South Africa’s acting High Commissioner in Abuja to explain the situation and demanded full investigations into the deaths of two Nigerians allegedly assaulted by South African security personnel. The Federal Government also requested autopsy reports, legal documentation and accountability measures where wrongdoing is established. These actions signalled that Abuja was no longer willing to treat attacks on Nigerians abroad as isolated incidents.

 

More significantly, Bianca Ojukwu moved swiftly to establish protective mechanisms for Nigerians living in South Africa. Following consultations with President Bola Tinubu and South African authorities, Nigeria directed its diplomatic missions to create crisis response and notification channels for threatened citizens. Nigerians were advised to contact security authorities immediately whenever they felt endangered.

 

Perhaps the most controversial aspect of the government’s response was the decision to begin voluntary repatriation for Nigerians who wished to leave South Africa. According to the minister, at least 130 Nigerians initially registered for evacuation following the protests. While some critics viewed the evacuation plan as a retreat, others saw it as a practical humanitarian measure aimed at protecting lives before violence escalated further.

 

What distinguishes Bianca Ojukwu’s response from previous official reactions is her attempt to redefine the conversation. She questioned whether the attacks should still be described merely as “xenophobia,” arguing that the hostility appeared directed mainly at black Africans. Her suggestion that the crisis increasingly resembles “Afriphobia” touches a sensitive but important continental debate. Why are fellow Africans, rather than Europeans or Asians, often the principal victims of anti-foreigner mobilisation in parts of South Africa?

 

Another remarkable dimension of her intervention was the emphasis on the psychological impact of the crisis on children. The minister disclosed reports that Nigerian children, including those born to Nigerian-South African parents, were allegedly bullied in schools and told to “return to their country.” By highlighting this aspect, she shifted the discourse from statistics and diplomatic statements to the human cost of intolerance.

 

For Nigerians in the diaspora, the significance of this moment goes beyond South Africa alone. It raises broader questions about African unity, migration and the responsibility of governments toward citizens abroad. Diaspora communities often contribute immensely through remittances, investments and international networks, yet many still feel vulnerable whenever crises erupt in host countries.

 

Bianca Ojukwu’s response may not immediately end xenophobic tensions in South Africa, but it has demonstrated a more assertive Nigerian diplomacy, one that seeks not only to protest injustice but also to actively protect citizens. In an era where Africans increasingly migrate within the continent in search of opportunities, governments can no longer afford silence or symbolic outrage. The safety and dignity of Africans, wherever they reside on African soil, must become a continental obligation rather than a diplomatic afterthought.

Continue Reading

Trending