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Analysis

Nigeria Braces For August 1 Protest As US, UK And Canada Warn Of Potential Violence

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Nigerians Plan Hunger Protests On August 1st: A Call For Change Or A Recipe For Chaos?

As the country grapples with economic hardship, insecurity, and political unrest, a group of Nigerians has announced plans to embark on a hunger protest on August 1st, 2024. The protest, aimed at drawing attention to the nation’s woes, has sparked intense debate, with some hailing it as a necessary call to action and others warning of potential consequences.

Diaspora Watch observes the hunger protest is a response to the country’s deteriorating economic situation, with inflation soaring to 22.8% in May 2024, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. The country’s unemployment rate stands at 33.3%, with over 23 million Nigerians out of work. The security situation is equally dire, with Boko Haram, ISWAP, Kidnapping and Banditry claiming hundreds of lives in recent months.

Supporters of the hunger protest argue that it is a peaceful and effective way to bring attention to the government’s failures. “We have tried everything else voting, petitions, and peaceful rallies. It’s time to take a stand and show the government that we will no longer tolerate their inaction,” said a protest organizer.

The protesters are demanding immediate action from the government to address the economic and security challenges facing the country. They are calling for increased investment in education, healthcare, and infrastructure, as well as a comprehensive overhaul of the security apparatus.

However, critics warn that the protest could degenerate into violence, citing examples from other countries. In 2013, a hunger strike in Ukraine turned deadly when police clashed with protesters. Similarly, India’s 2011 anti-corruption hunger strike led to widespread unrest.

“The government should address the people’s grievances through dialogue, not force,” cautioned a political analyst. “The protesters must also ensure they remain peaceful and avoid giving the government an excuse to crack down.”

Examples from around the world show that hunger protests can be effective in bringing about change, but also carry risks:

In 2018, a hunger strike by Nicaraguan protesters led to concessions from the government, including the release of political prisoners.

— In 2013, a hunger strike by Guantanamo Bay detainees drew international attention to their plight, leading to increased pressure on the US government to close the detention center.

— In India, Mahatma Gandhi’s 21-day hunger strike in 1943 led to significant concessions from the British colonial authorities. However, not all hunger protests have ended peacefully:

— In 2011, a hunger strike by Egyptian protesters turned violent when security forces cracked down on the demonstrators. — In 2009, a hunger strike by Iranian protesters led to widespread unrest and dozens of
deaths.

To avoid violent consequences, both sides must exercise restraint: — Protesters: Remain peaceful, avoid confrontations, and engage in dialogue with the government. Ensure that the protest is well-organized and that leaders are accountable.— Government: Listen to the people’s grievances, address them through concrete actions, and avoid using force. Engage in dialogue with the protesters and explore ways to address their concerns.

The government has responded to the planned protest with a mix of caution and conciliation . “We understand the frustrations of the Nigerian people and are committed to addressing their grievances,” said a government spokesperson. “However, we urge the protesters to remain peaceful and avoid any actions that could lead to violence.”

As August 1st approaches, Nigerians hold their breath, hoping for a peaceful and productive outcome. Will the hunger protest bring about the desired change, or will it end in chaos? Only time will tell. One thing is certain, however – the Nigerian people will no longer remain silent in the face of adversity.

Nigerians Plan Hunger Protests On August 1st: A Call For Change Or A Recipe For Chaos?

Nigerians Plan Hunger Protests On August 1st: A Call For Change Or A Recipe For Chaos?

Analysis

Trump’s Blacklist and the Burden of Nigeria’s Image, by Boniface Ihiasota

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Trump’s Blacklist and the Burden of Nigeria’s Image, by Boniface Ihiasota

 

The recent controversy over alleged “Christian genocide” in Nigeria has once again dragged the country’s name into a diplomatic storm. U.S. President Donald Trump’s push for Nigeria’s redesignation as a “country of particular concern” for religious freedom, coupled with his fiery rhetoric about “Christian persecution,” has amplified an already delicate global perception of Nigeria. In the U.S., Christian advocacy groups cite years of killings in the Middle Belt and northern states as evidence of systematic extermination; in Nigeria, officials insist the claim is exaggerated, arguing that the violence is driven more by terrorism, banditry, and communal disputes than by religion. Between these extremes lies a complex, painful reality that demands honesty and nuance.

 

There is no denying that Christians have suffered devastating attacks, alongside Muslims and others, across Nigeria’s conflict zones. Human Rights Watch, the International Crisis Group, and the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) have all documented repeated massacres of civilians. Between January 2024 and mid-2025, ACLED recorded over 6,200 civilian deaths across Nigeria’s northern states with Benue, Plateau, Kaduna, Zamfara, and Borno among the hardest hit. The U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCIRF) has, for years, accused the Nigerian government of failing to adequately protect religious minorities or prosecute perpetrators of sectarian violence.

 

However, most conflict researchers and rights organisations stop short of describing the situation as “genocide.” The legal definition of genocide — requiring intent to destroy, in whole or part, a specific group is rarely met in Nigeria’s case. Boko Haram and Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) clearly target Christians and moderate Muslims, but their goal is ideological domination, not total extermination. In the Middle Belt, violence is often rooted in competition for land and water between mostly Muslim pastoralists and mostly Christian farmers, worsened by climate change and weak governance. In the Northwest, killings and kidnappings are driven by criminal banditry and ransom economies.

 

The genocide narrative, though emotionally powerful, risks flattening these distinctions. It can harden identity lines, fuel retaliatory cycles, and distract from addressing root causes such as poor policing, corruption, and the failure of justice institutions. Still, calling the violence merely “communal clashes” trivialises the scale of human loss. In 2024 alone, Open Doors USA estimated that nearly 5,000 Christians were killed for their faith in Nigeria more than in any other country while Intersociety, a Nigerian watchdog, put the number closer to 7,000. These are not mere statistics; they represent shattered families, displaced communities, and the slow erosion of coexistence.

 

The Trump-led pressure on Nigeria is therefore a double-edged sword. On one hand, it forces international attention on a crisis often met with domestic indifference. The U.S. redesignation could push Nigeria toward greater accountability if it comes with constructive engagement and verifiable benchmarks for justice and protection. On the other, it risks reducing Nigeria to a caricature of religious war, empowering extremist voices, and alienating allies. Diplomacy by blacklist rarely solves complex conflicts; it often deepens mistrust.

 

Nigeria’s official response so far has been defensive. The government points to military campaigns against insurgents, thousands of arrests, and new community policing initiatives. Yet the absence of transparent investigations and successful prosecutions undermines these claims. The National Human Rights Commission has repeatedly lamented the culture of impunity that allows mass killings to go unpunished. Moreover, humanitarian conditions remain dire. According to the International Organization for Migration, over 3.2 million people remain internally displaced across northern Nigeria as many living in conditions ripe for radicalisation or exploitation.

 

If Nigeria is to reclaim its image, the government must move beyond rhetoric. First, independent investigations into mass killings from Benue to Zamfara should be conducted and their findings made public. Second, justice must be visible. The prosecution of both insurgent leaders and complicit security agents is essential to rebuild trust. Third, early-warning and mediation mechanisms should be strengthened in flashpoint areas, with community-based peacebuilding initiatives supported by both federal and local authorities.

 

For the international community, punitive measures alone are not enough. Sanctions, visa bans, and blacklists make headlines but seldom yield reform. What Nigeria needs is sustained technical and humanitarian support, funding for evidence-based investigations, victim rehabilitation, and local governance reforms that address the economic roots of violence. The U.S., the European Union, and the African Union should coordinate to ensure that any pressure on Nigeria is balanced with assistance that strengthens, rather than isolates, state institutions.

 

Nigerians in the diaspora also have a role to play. We must defend our nation’s integrity while refusing to whitewash its failures. The diaspora can lobby for balanced international engagement by urging foreign partners to back truth commissions, judicial reforms, and development projects in affected regions, rather than merely echoing partisan narratives.

 

Ultimately, Nigeria’s burden is one of perception and performance. The world will believe what it sees and what it sees, for now, are images of grief, displacement, and unanswered questions. To cleanse its image, Nigeria must first confront its own reflection: the failure to protect its people, to tell its own story truthfully, and to act decisively against those who profit from chaos.

 

If Trump’s blacklist serves any purpose, it should be to jolt Nigeria into self-accountability, not self-pity. Only by facing facts — the killings, the displacement and the impunity can Nigeria rise above the noise of international accusation. A nation that values its pluralism must prove it in action. Anything less is an abdication of responsibility to both history and humanity.

 

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Analysis

The Price of Nigeria’s Diplomatic Vacuum, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman 

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Nigeria’s President Bola Ahmed Tinubu

The Price of Nigeria’s Diplomatic Vacuum, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman 

 

There is a language nations speak without words: the handful of flags that fly over their embassies, the names on the placards at international conferences, the faces who present credentials to foreign heads of state. A steady, visible, and authorised presence is itself a powerful form of diplomacy. Conversely, absence speaks too: it is read as drift, as indifference, as lack of capacity. For over two years now, Nigeria has been sending a troubling message to the world by omission and the recent storm around U.S. reactions to violence in Nigeria has only made that silence more dangerous.

 

In September 2023, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu ordered an unprecedented recall of Nigerian envoys, a sweeping reset that swept through 109 missions worldwide. The recall was widely reported and framed as part of a “comprehensive restructuring” of the foreign service. Yet what followed was not a quick redeployment but a prolonged vacuum. Many of Nigeria’s 109 missions, by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ own count, made up of 76 embassies, 22 high commissions, and 11 consulates, have operated for over 25 months and counting without substantive ambassadors.

 

This is not trivia. Ambassadors are not ceremonial appointments; they are policy instruments. They lobby, they explain, they convene, they protect citizens, and often they move quietly to avert crises that would otherwise become headlines.

 

The danger of that deficit became painfully visible in the past fortnight when the United States took a dramatic step: Nigeria was added to a religious-freedom watch list and President Donald Trump publicly warned of sanctions and even threatened military “action” if alleged abuses were not addressed. The statement as reported across major outlets did not arise in a vacuum. It surfaced at a moment when narratives about insecurity in Nigeria, amplified by transnational networks and sympathetic political forces in Washington, had already gained purchase.

 

In such moments, a credible and well-placed ambassador can make an enormous difference — briefing congressional staff, arranging private meetings with State Department principals, convening diaspora interlocutors and think-tank experts, and getting the facts, context and data into the hands of decision makers. With a substantive ambassador absent, those lines of direct, high-level persuasion are far weaker.

 

Look back and you will see how effective envoys have been in previous crises. Nigeria’s ambassadors have repeatedly been the country’s first line of defence in moments of reputational peril. Joy Uche Angela Ogwu, who served as Nigeria’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations, chaired the UN Security Council and used that platform to shape debates about peacekeeping and African security, raising Nigeria’s profile at critical junctures. Christopher Kolade’s tenure in London helped restore confidence in Nigerian-UK relations in the early 2000s; his personal credibility smoothed rough political moments and opened space for trade and cooperation. And career diplomats such as Ade Adefuye in Washington combined scholarship with statecraft to keep complex bilateral channels open when tensions threatened to escalate. These are not anecdotal footnotes: they are evidence that skilled ambassadors change outcomes.

 

The facts of Nigeria’s current political economy make this vacuum all the more costly. Formal diaspora remittances rose sharply in 2024: the Central Bank of Nigeria reported that personal remittance receipts increased to about $20.9 billion in 2024 — a lifeline for families, a buffer for foreign-exchange reserves, and a major instrument of economic resilience. That stream of capital arrives and is mediated through embassies and consulates that service diasporas in the United States, Europe and the Gulf. Where missions are leaderless or under-resourced, vital consular functions suffer and diaspora engagement weakens.

 

At home, the macroeconomic and social context is thorny. Headline inflation after peaking in 2024 was reported to have eased to around 18.02% in September 2025, a signal of nascent stabilization but still a heavy burden for citizens struggling with the rising cost of living. Unemployment figures remain contested because of methodological revisions at the statistical office, but credible reporting and international observers warn that youth under-employment and precarious work remain structural challenges that require external partnerships (investment, skills exchanges, technology transfers) to address meaningfully. Ambassadors are key to courting that investment and to telling the nuanced story of reform on the ground.

 

So what precisely does Nigeria stand to lose and what could a full diplomatic corps still salvage?

 

First, influence in high-stakes bilateral relationships. The United States, the United Kingdom, China, the Gulf states and the European Union are not just partners; they are sources of investment, security cooperation and multilateral leverage. An ambassador with a direct line to Washington or Brussels can move quickly to protect bilateral programmes, reassure partners, and correct misrepresentations as past envoys have done during periods of acute scrutiny. The absence of properly accredited envoys reduces Nigeria to reactive press statements delivered from the Presidency rather than proactive personal diplomacy in the capitals that matter.

 

Second, the operational loss: trade facilitation, investor matchmaking and visa reciprocity. Nigeria’s spot at the table in negotiations over AfCFTA rules, digital trade norms, and technical cooperation is best defended by envoys who know both the domestic policy detail and the host country’s political rhythms. Several recent reports have highlighted how coordination problems between ministries and missions slowed post-summit follow-ups after presidential trips as opportunities erode faster than rhetoric.

 

Third, diaspora protection and remittances. Embassies are the interface for millions of Nigerians abroad. When missions are understaffed or run by officers with limited mandate, the timeliness and effectiveness of consular assistance from passport services to crisis interventions deteriorate. This is more than inconvenience. It damages confidence, reduces formal remittance channels and diminishes the state’s capacity to mobilise its diaspora as economic and political assets.

 

Fourth, reputational repair. Foreign-policy shocks stick. Narratives once set whether about corruption, insecurity, or human-rights violations become grist for activists, competitors, and foreign legislatures. Ambassadors are the corrective lens that present balanced data, context and counter-narratives. Without them, the field is left to town criers abroad and hostile networks who have incentives to amplify worst-case versions of our reality. The Trump episode is an instructive example: the designation and the rhetoric around it show how quickly international policy can be reframed by a small but influential political ecosystem.

 

This is not to excuse poor choices or to ask for haste without quality. Ambassadorial appointments must be meritocratic, transparent and strategic. Nigeria’s foreign service needs both seasoned career diplomats and well-qualified non-career appointees who understand the country’s reform agenda. Ambassadors must be given clear, measurable mandates: increase two-way investment by X percent within Y years; secure technical partnerships in health and security; deepen research and educational linkages; protect diaspora welfare; and actively manage national narratives in host countries. Those targets make appointments accountable and useful.

 

There are signs the presidency recognises the urgency. Reports in national outlets indicate that the administration has moved to finalise ambassadorial lists and that nominations are expected to be announced. If true, the moment is to get it right, but without turning diplomacy into patronage. A carefully selected diplomatic bench, empowered with clear objectives and proper resourcing, can begin the work of repairing lost ground and seizing opportunities.

 

Finally, a larger principle underwrites the immediate ask: diplomacy is national infrastructure. Like rail or broadband, it must be maintained lest the nation’s productive capacity shrink. For a country as large and consequential as Nigeria, diplomats are not expendable extras; they are assets of sovereignty. The choice to leave missions headless for too long is a strategic gamble that exacts real costs in economic, security and reputational.

 

The practical remedy is straightforward: nominate steadily, vet transparently, deploy decisively, and hold envoys to clear deliverables. But the moral case is as important: if a nation expects the world to take its reforms, its developmental aspirations, and its security concerns seriously, it must be present where the world decides. Silence in the corridors of influence will be read as absence of will. Nigeria cannot afford either.

 

A restored and purposeful diplomatic corps will not fix every problem. But it will restore Nigeria’s voice, the first indispensable step toward shaping the narratives that determine whether we are judged by our worst headlines or by our capacity to reform, to protect citizens, and to compete for the future. If the Tinubu administration is serious about the Renewed Hope Agenda, then it must treat ambassadorial appointments as policy imperatives, not political rewards.

 

Alabidun is a media practitioner and can be reached via alabidungoldenson@gmail.com

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Analysis

Justice for Ochanya Ogbanje, by Boniface Ihiasota

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Justice for Ochanya Ogbanje, by Boniface Ihiasota

 

In a country where injustice too often becomes routine, the story of Ochanya Ogbanje still stands out — haunting, unforgettable, and deeply symbolic of our collective moral failure. Hers is not just the story of a 13-year-old girl from Benue State; it is a painful reminder of what happens when society normalises silence in the face of cruelty.

 

Ochanya was a bright and hopeful student of the Federal Government Girls College, Gboko, until her life was brutally cut short on October 17, 2018. She died from complications arising from vesicovaginal fistula (VVF), a condition caused by repeated sexual assault. The perpetrators were not strangers lurking in dark alleys but they were family: her guardian, Andrew Ogbuja, a lecturer at the Benue State Polytechnic, and his son, Victor.

 

Reports later revealed that Ochanya had endured years of sexual violence under their roof in Ugbokolo, Okpokwu Local Government Area. When she finally broke her silence, her body had already borne more trauma than most could imagine. She was admitted to the Federal Medical Centre, Makurdi, where she died a few days later.

 

Her death sparked outrage. Nigerians, united by collective grief, demanded accountability under the banner of #JusticeForOchanya. Civil society organisations, women’s rights groups, and lawyers mobilised nationwide. For once, it seemed the system would act.

 

But seven years later, justice remains a mirage.

 

In April 2022, the Benue State High Court acquitted Andrew Ogbuja, the main suspect, of rape and culpable homicide, citing insufficient evidence. His son, Victor, remains at large. Their matriarch, Felicia Ogbuja, was convicted for negligence and handed a few months jail term, a slap on the wrist that mocked the gravity of the crime.

 

How does a case so clear, so public, and so painful collapse under the weight of “technicalities”?

 

The answer lies in a justice system ill-equipped to protect the weak. In Nigeria, sexual and gender-based violence is often treated as private misfortune rather than public crime. According to UNICEF, one in four Nigerian girls experiences sexual violence before the age of 18, but only 4.8 per cent of reported cases ever result in conviction. This statistic is not just a number, it is a damning verdict on our collective failure to protect children like Ochanya.

 

The legal process that followed her death exposed deep cracks in Nigeria’s justice architecture. Investigations were slow, evidence poorly handled, and witnesses inadequately protected. There were reports of institutional interference, procedural loopholes, and social pressures that diluted the pursuit of truth.

 

In a functioning system, child sexual assault cases receive priority attention. Evidence is collected within hours, witnesses are shielded from intimidation, and survivors (or their families) are supported with counselling. In Nigeria, the reverse is often the case. Victims are shamed, families are ostracised, and offenders are shielded by status or influence.

 

But beyond the courtroom, Ochanya’s story raises uncomfortable questions about our society. How many teachers, neighbours, or family friends suspected abuse but said nothing? How many community elders preferred to “settle it quietly”? Silence, in such cases, becomes complicity.

 

This culture of silence is what sustains impunity. The Child Rights Act of 2003 should have been our strongest weapon against such abuse. Yet, more than two decades later, 11 states, mostly in northern Nigeria have still not domesticated it. Even in states where it exists, enforcement remains weak. Without strong institutions and consistent public pressure, laws become mere words on paper.

 

From the Diaspora, where systems treat every child’s safety as sacred, it is painful to watch Nigeria stumble repeatedly over the same failures. In countries like Canada or the United Kingdom, a single case like Ochanya’s would trigger sweeping investigations, public apologies, and institutional reform. In Nigeria, it barely sustains public attention for a month. That indifference is deadly.

 

Justice for Ochanya must go beyond hashtags and memorials. It requires deliberate institutional reform from how police handle sexual crimes to how courts prioritise them. Benue State must reopen the case, locate Victor Ogbuja, and review the 2022 acquittal in light of fresh evidence or procedural lapses. The Federal Ministry of Women Affairs and NAPTIP must coordinate efforts to ensure that child protection is not just a policy goal but a daily practice.

 

Civil society must also remain vigilant. Organisations like WACOL, FIDA Nigeria, and The Coalition Against Rape and Sexual Violence (CARSV) have done commendable work, but they need sustained funding, collaboration, and public support to continue their advocacy.

 

Ultimately, justice for Ochanya is not about vengeance, it is about restoring faith in our humanity. Her death should provoke national soul-searching: how many more Ochanyas are suffering in silence across Nigeria today?

 

Every child deserves protection, dignity, and justice. The measure of any nation’s greatness lies not in its economic strength or political power, but in how it treats its most vulnerable.

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