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As Kamala Harris Faces Political Turmoil, Will Hope Prevail Over Fear In The US Election?

As Kamala Harris Enters The US Election Danger Zone, We Are About To See If Hope Trumps Fear
BY ARTHUR SINODINOS
As an Australian onlooker, the pageantry of American politics – party conventions in particular – can seem like a spectacle compared with the austerity of Australian elections.
But after the DNC celebrations in Chicago wind down, the Democratic party is facing the hard reality of a serious fight ahead of November’s presidential election.
At this stage of the campaign, it’s better to be in Kamala Harris’ shoes than Donald Trump’s. But she has some work to do yet and is maybe a couple of points off a genuine lead.
She is now entering the danger zone. The home stretch traditionally kicks off on Labor Day on the first Monday in September, when everyone returns to work. Most voters are locked into their choice by now but must be motivated to stay engaged and cast their vote. Ballot papers will start going out soon in some states.
The few undecideds now start to focus on the campaign. By this stage, candidates should have honed their messages down to a few key points that they will repeat ad nauseam until election day. By the end of it, the candidates will have very little fuel left in the tank.
The major events to come are the debate(s), where a misstep could cost the election. If Trump behaves himself and sticks to the key issues (immigration and the economy) he is positioned to win the debates and possibly the election. The pressure on Harris is to show she can go toe to toe with Trump and is in command of not only broad themes but policy, without getting lost in the weeds.
Trump has struggled to get his line and length on Harris. He is still mourning the loss of Joe Biden. He went through a similar grieving process in 2020 when Covid-19 derailed his election campaign. Trump began 2020 confident that the strong economy and incumbency would result in a comfortable reelection, but Covid completely changed the election landscape. He struggled to adjust his message, veering between Churchillian statesmanship and partisan brawling. He took over Vice President Pence’s daily briefings, which were rating highly, and made the election a referendum on himself.
Biden, meanwhile, kept to his basement and pounded out messages that highlighted Trump’s negatives. He detached enough non-college-educated white voters to swing the election. That was the calculation behind backing Biden in 2020. In this election, Biden became a handbrake on voter enthusiasm, so the Democrats cancelled him. Trump underestimated the ruthlessness of the Democrats and Biden’s party loyalty; he is above all an institutionalist, the quintessential insider.
Read also : The Potential Return of Donald Trump and Its Global Impact
Trump presents himself as the outsider, seeking to appeal to those let down by the cosy Washington insiders looking after themselves and Wall Street but not main street. Insiders are cosmopolitans and globalists; he is America First.
Trump is simultaneously courting the big end of town and the libertarians in Big Tech with promises of lower taxes and less regulation. Tech bros such as Elon Musk and Peter Thiel also see themselves as outsiders, breaking through the business establishment and setting their own rules. Trump is OK with that if they fund him and provide support in the media.
A strong suit for Trump is the economy, which did well during his tenure, driven by tax cuts and a burgeoning deficit. Biden’s strong economy has been undermined by inflation stoked by supply side shortages and continued growth in government spending. Trump’s policy proposals for higher tariffs will add to costs as will the desire to artificially lower the dollar, impacting interest rates and undermining market confidence. The Republicans cannot agree on a plan to rein in the fiscal deficit, with defence spending set to go
Harris is turning the Republican mantra of freedom on its head – freedom over your own body if you are a woman, freedom from gun violence and the freedom to get ahead. She has reenergised young people and women generally. She is leaning into the changing face of America, positioning Trump as yesterday’s man
higher and Trump having promised tax cuts all round and ruled out cuts to Medicare and social security.
Trump’s other strong suit is immigration, which has surged in the last four years. His attacks on immigration are also a proxy for how quickly America is changing in demography, and racial and ethnic complexion. This is linked to fears about safety and security in sections of the population. This was exemplified by a recent Trump ad that contrasted a traditional American house with a flag out the front, next to a hellscape of a neighbourhood overrun by dark-skinned immigrants and intruders. This is not a time for subtlety.
But Harris has transformed the race. She is proof that, above all, politicians are purveyors of hope. That was Michelle Obama’s message to the Democrat faithful: “The contagious power of hope.”
Harris is turning the Republican mantra of freedom on its head – freedom over your own body if you are a woman, freedom from gun violence and the freedom to get ahead. She has reenergised young people and women generally. She is leaning into the changing face of America, positioning Trump as yesterday’s man.
She remains a policy chameleon, straddling the divide between moderate and progressive Democrats, and deftly distancing herself from some Biden-era policies including the self-described broken immigration system. She has junked inconvenient policy positions. She no longer supports single payer government-run healthcare, for example.
The Trump team is reprising previous policy positions to define her as a far-left candidate. This may stick if Harris is unable to define herself, although the Trump/Vance team has shifted positions over time, too.
Democrat strategists are wary of tying her down with too many details – that is for after the election. Her positions now are meant to paint a picture of her as the anti-Trump while neutralising his populist themes. She matched his promise not to tax tips (important to hospitality workers in Nevada). Her major economic speech last week was a populist feast, dealing with inflation by going after price gouging by corporations and offering a housing grant program to the middle class (proxy for the aspirational working class).
If Trump continues to bait her by targeting personality rather than policy, she may just get away with policy lite.
We are about to see if hope trumps fear.
Arthur Sinodinos is a former Australian ambassador to the US. He is the partner and chair of The Asia Group’s Australia practice and was a former minister for industry, innovation and science
News
CARICOM Welcomes Gaza Peace Plan, Calls for Lasting Ceasefire

CARICOM Welcomes Gaza Peace Plan, Calls for Lasting Ceasefire
The Caribbean Community (CARICOM) has expressed cautious optimism over the agreement reached on the initial phase of a peace plan for Gaza, describing it as a vital step toward easing the humanitarian crisis and advancing lasting peace in the region.
In a statement issued after the Conference of Heads of Government of CARICOM, the regional bloc commended the progress made in negotiations, saying the deal offers hope for both the Palestinian people and the safe return of Israeli hostages.
CARICOM said the stipulated terms of the agreement — including a sustained pause in hostilities, withdrawal of military forces, reciprocal release of hostages and prisoners, and the guarantee of immediate and safe humanitarian access — represent “constructive and fundamental” measures toward stability.
“We view this development as a critical step toward alleviating the immense suffering of the Palestinian people, and the safe return of the Israeli hostages,” the statement read.
The Community, however, urged all signatories to fully honour their commitments, warning that the progress achieved so far must not be undermined by renewed violence or political division.
“CARICOM emphatically calls upon all signatories to honour these commitments in full and to ensure this first phase serves as a foundation for a permanent and unconditional ceasefire,” the regional body stated.
Reiterating its long-standing support for a Two-State Solution, CARICOM said a just and durable peace can only be secured through negotiations rooted in international law and mutual recognition of the rights and aspirations of both Israelis and Palestinians.
“A just and lasting peace, in accordance with international law, can only be achieved through a negotiated Two-State Solution, which upholds the legitimate aspirations for security and dignity of both nations,” the statement added.
News
CARICOM Seeks More Investment, Partnerships to Tackle NCDs, Mental Health

CARICOM Seeks More Investment, Partnerships to Tackle NCDs, Mental Health
Secretary-General of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), Dr. Carla Barnett, has said that ending the epidemic of Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) and addressing mental health challenges will require fresh investment, innovative financing, stronger partnerships and bold policy action.
Dr. Barnett made this known on Thursday while addressing a High-Level Breakfast on NCDs and Mental Health, held on the sidelines of the 80th United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York.
She recalled that since the landmark 2007 Port-of-Spain Declaration, CARICOM has championed a multi-sectoral response to NCDs, introducing initiatives such as Caribbean Wellness Day and the elimination of trans fats.
However, she lamented that despite some progress, most Member States are off track to meet the 2025 global target of reducing premature NCD mortality by 25 per cent, with only Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, and Grenada showing encouraging results.
The Secretary-General underscored the need for greater financial commitment and collaboration at both regional and global levels.
According to her, the reality of limited fiscal resources in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) has slowed progress, making it necessary to explore innovative financing mechanisms, strengthen public-private partnerships and enhance monitoring frameworks.
Dr. Barnett noted that the worsening impacts of climate change are also aggravating health challenges in the Region, while rising cases of mental health conditions present an additional burden.
Vulnerable populations, including persons with disabilities and the elderly, she said, remain at particular risk.
“While daunting, ending the epidemic of NCDs in CARICOM is not an insurmountable task. The lessons learnt over the past 18 years can strategically position the Caribbean Community in the next decade,” she said, stressing the need for renewed commitment from governments, development partners and civil society.
She further called for stronger social safety nets, legislative action, and investment in assistive living technologies for the ageing population.
Dr. Barnett commended the Caribbean Public Health Agency (CARPHA), the Pan-American Health Organization/World Health Organization (PAHO/WHO), and the Healthy Caribbean Coalition (HCC) for their role in advancing health initiatives, while also acknowledging the political will demonstrated by CARICOM Heads of Government.
Reaffirming CARICOM’s resolve, Dr. Barnett maintained that sustainable progress against NCDs and mental health challenges would only be achieved through collective commitment, increased funding and equitable policy responses that put people at the centre.
News
Kenyan Police Declare ₦11m Bounty on Fugitive Serial Killer

Kenyan Police Declare ₦11m Bounty on Fugitive Serial Killer
Kenyan police have announced a reward of 1 million shillings (about ₦11 million) for information leading to the arrest of Collins Jumaisi Khalusha, a suspected serial killer accused of murdering more than 40 women in Nairobi.
Khalusha, who was arrested in August 2024, escaped from custody shortly after his detention, alongside 12 other inmates, in what has become one of the country’s most embarrassing security lapses.
He reportedly cut through a wire mesh roof and scaled a perimeter wall at a police station considered one of Nairobi’s most secure — located near the US Embassy and UN offices.
The suspect had been linked to the gruesome killings of young women, aged between 18 and 30, whose mutilated bodies were discovered in a disused quarry in the capital.
Outrage has continued to trail the police’s inability to re-arrest him more than a year after the jailbreak.
Human rights activist, Khalid Hussein, accused authorities of failing to take the matter seriously, alleging that some bodies were still rotting in the quarry.
He described the latest reward announcement as a reaction to public embarrassment caused by a local TV documentary on the unsolved murders.
“This one million shillings reward is absolutely useless. It is a reaction, not a commitment,” Hussein said.
The Directorate of Criminal Investigations (DCI), in a post on X, promised to pay the bounty to anyone who provides “credible information” that leads to Khalusha’s re-arrest.
Police had previously announced a reward last year, but without specifying an amount.
Several officers were also arrested on suspicion of aiding the escape but were later released on bail.
The case has put Kenyan law enforcement under intense scrutiny, with many citizens questioning how a mass killer could have been allowed to slip through the cracks, especially as the crime scene was barely 100 metres from a police station.
At the time of Khalusha’s arrest, DCI chief Mohamed Amin described him as “a psychopathic serial killer who has no respect for human life.”
He was scheduled to face multiple murder charges before his disappearance.
Interior Minister Kipchumba Murkomen, reacting to the escape, described the incident as “regrettable” and “a sad story,” while expressing hope that the fugitive would soon be captured.
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