News
As Kamala Harris Faces Political Turmoil, Will Hope Prevail Over Fear In The US Election?
As Kamala Harris Enters The US Election Danger Zone, We Are About To See If Hope Trumps Fear
BY ARTHUR SINODINOS
As an Australian onlooker, the pageantry of American politics – party conventions in particular – can seem like a spectacle compared with the austerity of Australian elections.
But after the DNC celebrations in Chicago wind down, the Democratic party is facing the hard reality of a serious fight ahead of November’s presidential election.
At this stage of the campaign, it’s better to be in Kamala Harris’ shoes than Donald Trump’s. But she has some work to do yet and is maybe a couple of points off a genuine lead.
She is now entering the danger zone. The home stretch traditionally kicks off on Labor Day on the first Monday in September, when everyone returns to work. Most voters are locked into their choice by now but must be motivated to stay engaged and cast their vote. Ballot papers will start going out soon in some states.
The few undecideds now start to focus on the campaign. By this stage, candidates should have honed their messages down to a few key points that they will repeat ad nauseam until election day. By the end of it, the candidates will have very little fuel left in the tank.
The major events to come are the debate(s), where a misstep could cost the election. If Trump behaves himself and sticks to the key issues (immigration and the economy) he is positioned to win the debates and possibly the election. The pressure on Harris is to show she can go toe to toe with Trump and is in command of not only broad themes but policy, without getting lost in the weeds.
Trump has struggled to get his line and length on Harris. He is still mourning the loss of Joe Biden. He went through a similar grieving process in 2020 when Covid-19 derailed his election campaign. Trump began 2020 confident that the strong economy and incumbency would result in a comfortable reelection, but Covid completely changed the election landscape. He struggled to adjust his message, veering between Churchillian statesmanship and partisan brawling. He took over Vice President Pence’s daily briefings, which were rating highly, and made the election a referendum on himself.
Biden, meanwhile, kept to his basement and pounded out messages that highlighted Trump’s negatives. He detached enough non-college-educated white voters to swing the election. That was the calculation behind backing Biden in 2020. In this election, Biden became a handbrake on voter enthusiasm, so the Democrats cancelled him. Trump underestimated the ruthlessness of the Democrats and Biden’s party loyalty; he is above all an institutionalist, the quintessential insider.
Read also : The Potential Return of Donald Trump and Its Global Impact
Trump presents himself as the outsider, seeking to appeal to those let down by the cosy Washington insiders looking after themselves and Wall Street but not main street. Insiders are cosmopolitans and globalists; he is America First.
Trump is simultaneously courting the big end of town and the libertarians in Big Tech with promises of lower taxes and less regulation. Tech bros such as Elon Musk and Peter Thiel also see themselves as outsiders, breaking through the business establishment and setting their own rules. Trump is OK with that if they fund him and provide support in the media.
A strong suit for Trump is the economy, which did well during his tenure, driven by tax cuts and a burgeoning deficit. Biden’s strong economy has been undermined by inflation stoked by supply side shortages and continued growth in government spending. Trump’s policy proposals for higher tariffs will add to costs as will the desire to artificially lower the dollar, impacting interest rates and undermining market confidence. The Republicans cannot agree on a plan to rein in the fiscal deficit, with defence spending set to go
Harris is turning the Republican mantra of freedom on its head – freedom over your own body if you are a woman, freedom from gun violence and the freedom to get ahead. She has reenergised young people and women generally. She is leaning into the changing face of America, positioning Trump as yesterday’s man
higher and Trump having promised tax cuts all round and ruled out cuts to Medicare and social security.
Trump’s other strong suit is immigration, which has surged in the last four years. His attacks on immigration are also a proxy for how quickly America is changing in demography, and racial and ethnic complexion. This is linked to fears about safety and security in sections of the population. This was exemplified by a recent Trump ad that contrasted a traditional American house with a flag out the front, next to a hellscape of a neighbourhood overrun by dark-skinned immigrants and intruders. This is not a time for subtlety.
But Harris has transformed the race. She is proof that, above all, politicians are purveyors of hope. That was Michelle Obama’s message to the Democrat faithful: “The contagious power of hope.”
Harris is turning the Republican mantra of freedom on its head – freedom over your own body if you are a woman, freedom from gun violence and the freedom to get ahead. She has reenergised young people and women generally. She is leaning into the changing face of America, positioning Trump as yesterday’s man.
She remains a policy chameleon, straddling the divide between moderate and progressive Democrats, and deftly distancing herself from some Biden-era policies including the self-described broken immigration system. She has junked inconvenient policy positions. She no longer supports single payer government-run healthcare, for example.
The Trump team is reprising previous policy positions to define her as a far-left candidate. This may stick if Harris is unable to define herself, although the Trump/Vance team has shifted positions over time, too.
Democrat strategists are wary of tying her down with too many details – that is for after the election. Her positions now are meant to paint a picture of her as the anti-Trump while neutralising his populist themes. She matched his promise not to tax tips (important to hospitality workers in Nevada). Her major economic speech last week was a populist feast, dealing with inflation by going after price gouging by corporations and offering a housing grant program to the middle class (proxy for the aspirational working class).
If Trump continues to bait her by targeting personality rather than policy, she may just get away with policy lite.
We are about to see if hope trumps fear.
Arthur Sinodinos is a former Australian ambassador to the US. He is the partner and chair of The Asia Group’s Australia practice and was a former minister for industry, innovation and science
News
CARICOM Declares Bahamas Poll Credible, Peaceful
CARICOM Declares Bahamas Poll Credible, Peaceful
A nine-member CARICOM Election Observation Mission has declared that the 2026 general elections in The Bahamas reflected the will of the Bahamian people, following what it described as a peaceful and orderly voting process across the country.
The mission, which was deployed by the Caribbean Community at the invitation of Governor-General Cynthia Pratt, observed the May 12 elections and monitored polling activities on the islands of New Providence and Grand Bahama.
The observers were drawn from nine CARICOM member states, including Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, Dominica, Grenada, Haiti, Jamaica, Saint Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Suriname.
In its interim statement issued on Wednesday, the mission said it held extensive consultations with political leaders, electoral officials, civil society groups, youth organisations and members of the media ahead of the elections.
Among those engaged were Prime Minister Philip Davis, Opposition Leader Michael Pintard, Coalition of Independents leader Lincoln Bain and former Prime Minister Hubert Minnis.
The observers disclosed that stakeholders raised concerns over the integrity of the voters’ register, preparedness of the Parliamentary Registration Department, alleged issuance of fraudulent voter identification cards and passports, campaign financing issues, inadequate voter education and concerns about the independence of electoral institutions.
Despite the concerns raised before the polls, the mission stated that election day procedures were generally conducted professionally, with adequate police presence and timely delivery of election materials across most polling divisions.
It noted that polling stations opened largely on schedule, while party agents from various political parties were present during the exercise.
According to the mission, observers monitored activities in 22 constituencies in New Providence and all five constituencies in Grand Bahama, covering a total of 317 polling divisions.
It said election workers appeared adequately trained and courteous, while elderly and physically challenged voters received necessary assistance throughout the voting process.
The mission further noted that although there were slight inconsistencies in the application of some voting procedures, such incidents were limited and did not disrupt the electoral process.
It added that voter turnout remained steady during the morning and evening periods, despite a noticeable reduction in voter traffic during midday.
On the counting process, the observers stated that ballot boxes were opened in the presence of polling agents, election officials and observers, while results were announced publicly in line with established electoral procedures.
The mission also confirmed that the sealing of ballot boxes and transfer of electoral materials were conducted transparently and professionally.
Chief of Mission, Herman St. Helen, commended the Parliamentary Registration Department, security agencies, party agents and the people of The Bahamas for maintaining peace and order throughout the elections. He stated that the mission considered the outcome of the 2026 polls to be consistent with the democratic will of the Bahamian electorate, adding that a final report containing the mission’s recommendations would be submitted to the CARICOM Secretary-General in the coming weeks.
News
Trump Returns from China Visit With No Breakthrough on Iran as Diplomacy Stalls
Trump Returns from China Visit With No Breakthrough on Iran as Diplomacy Stalls
United States President Donald Trump has returned from a high-stakes diplomatic trip to China without securing any breakthrough on the escalating tensions with Iran, despite hopes within the White House that Beijing’s longstanding ties with Tehran could help shift the stalemate.
Officials inside the administration had viewed the visit as a potential opening to reset strained negotiations, particularly over Iran’s nuclear programme and the continued disruption of global energy routes.
However, Trump landed back in Washington on Friday with no new progress to announce.
Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One, the president said Chinese leader Xi Jinping expressed support for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and reiterated opposition to Iran acquiring nuclear weapons.
But analysts noted that those positions are not new, as Beijing has made similar statements publicly in the past.
“He would like to see it end. He would like to help. If he wants to help, that’s great. But we don’t need help,” Trump told Fox News’ Bret Baier in an interview aired Friday.
Inside the administration, attention has now shifted to the next phase of U.S. strategy, with officials divided over whether to intensify military pressure or continue diplomatic engagement with Tehran.
The widening tensions come as the conflict between Washington and Tehran stretches beyond the six-week timeline initially projected by the White House, raising concerns over economic fallout, including rising fuel prices and inflationary pressure in the United States.
Trump, posting on Truth Social while in China, signalled that military operations remain on the table, writing: “To be continued!”
Iran, meanwhile, has shown little indication of softening its position, maintaining its stance despite renewed diplomatic efforts.
The impasse has further deepened divisions within Trump’s foreign policy team.
Sources familiar with internal discussions say some officials at the Pentagon are pushing for a more aggressive posture, including targeted strikes aimed at forcing concessions from Tehran.
Others argue that sustained diplomatic pressure remains the better option.
Vice President JD Vance struck an optimistic tone earlier in the week, saying progress was still possible following consultations with key advisers and regional contacts involved in the negotiations.
“The president has set us off on the diplomatic pathway for now, and that’s what I’m focused on,” Vance said.
However, Iran’s continued posture has raised doubts within Washington about the effectiveness of ongoing talks, with officials acknowledging that Tehran has not altered its core demands since a ceasefire announced in April.
According to analysts, the prolonged closure of key energy routes, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, has contributed to a surge in global oil prices, further complicating the economic outlook for the United States.
Former NATO Ambassador Ivo Daalder described the situation as increasingly difficult for Washington.
“He’s tried bluster, that didn’t work. He’s tried negotiations, that hasn’t worked,” Daalder said. “He’s trying to find a way to unstick his stuckness.”
Economic pressures are also mounting domestically, with U.S. gasoline prices climbing above $4.50 per gallon on average, while inflation has begun to outpace wage growth for the first time in three years.
Although the stock market has remained relatively stable, business leaders are reportedly urging the White House to de-escalate tensions and secure a swift resolution to the crisis.
One Trump adviser said corporate executives had delivered a blunt message: “They just want the war over… just hurry up.”
Despite the growing concerns, Trump has downplayed the economic impact, insisting that his focus remains on preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
“I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation. I don’t think about anybody. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon,” the president said earlier this week.
Business
Nigeria Grants Rwandans 30-Day Visa-Free Entry to Boost African Integration, Trade
Nigeria Grants Rwandans 30-Day Visa-Free Entry to Boost African Integration, Trade
The Nigerian Government has commenced a 30-day visa-free entry policy for Rwandan nationals, in a move aimed at strengthening continental integration, boosting trade, and enhancing mobility under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) framework.
The policy, which takes immediate effect across all entry points, follows an announcement by President Bola Tinubu at the Africa CEO Forum held in Kigali, Rwanda, where he reiterated Nigeria’s commitment to easing movement across African borders.
In a statement issued on Thursday, the Nigeria Immigration Service (NIS) confirmed that operational arrangements had been concluded for the full implementation of the directive at airports, land borders and seaports nationwide.
Under the new arrangement, Rwandan citizens will be allowed to enter Nigeria without a visa for up to 30 days for legitimate purposes, including tourism, business engagements and official visits.
The Service, however, clarified that visitors wishing to stay beyond the approved period must obtain the appropriate visa through Nigerian diplomatic missions abroad or apply via the Nigeria e-Visa platform.
“Under this bilateral arrangement, Rwandan nationals may enter Nigeria without a visa for a period not exceeding thirty (30) days for lawful purposes, including tourism, business, and official engagements,” the statement read.
The NIS said the policy reflects the strengthening diplomatic relationship between Nigeria and Rwanda, while also aligning with broader African efforts to promote free movement of persons, trade facilitation and economic cooperation across the continent.
It added that the initiative underscores Nigeria’s commitment to regional integration under the AfCFTA agreement, which seeks to create a single African market for goods and services.
“The Nigeria Immigration Service notes that this initiative reflects the strong diplomatic and bilateral relations between the Federal Republic of Nigeria and the Republic of Rwanda, while promoting intra-African mobility, tourism, and economic cooperation in line with continental aspirations,” the agency said.
The Service reaffirmed its readiness to ensure safe, orderly and lawful migration in line with international standards and the Federal Government’s Renewed Hope Agenda.
The visa waiver comes amid growing continental momentum toward easing intra-African travel barriers, as several countries push policies aimed at improving economic linkages, tourism flows and regional investment opportunities.
-
Extra1 week agoEzeibe–Lassina Wedding Draws Top African Dignitaries To Marrakech, Morocco
-
Analysis1 week agoNDC As A New Bride, by Alabidun Shuaib AbdulRahman
-
News1 week agoTrump Rejects Iran’s Peace Response, Says Proposal ‘Totally Unacceptable’
-
Business1 week agoDangote Unveils Plan for 20,000MW Power Project
-
News1 day agoWorld Terror Chief Falls in Nigeria
-
Analysis1 week agoBianca Ojukwu and Nigeria’s Firm Stand Against South African Xenophobia
